this post was submitted on 05 Nov 2024
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politics

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[–] justhach 126 points 14 hours ago* (last edited 14 hours ago) (4 children)

"~~Kamala Harris~~ Hillary Clinton predicted to win by nearly every major forecaster"

Its like 2016 never even fucking happened lol

[–] givesomefucks 24 points 13 hours ago (1 children)

She was predicted to win the popular vote....

And she did.

Looking at statewide polling and a lot of battleground states were coinflips.

The problem was anyone mentioning that got screeched at for wanting trump to win....

[–] [email protected] 12 points 13 hours ago (1 children)

She was predicted to win the popular vote…And she did.

But this article is saying it's based on the EC,

Nate Silver's latest forecast now gives Vice President Kamala Harris a slight edge in the Electoral College
The model shows Harris securing 271 Electoral College votes to Trump's 267.

[–] MeekerThanBeaker 9 points 10 hours ago (1 children)

That is too close. I hate that it's that close.

I want her to get over 350... over 400 even.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 10 hours ago

Hey, same here. And you know what? There's hope - at least one pollster is predicting a major blowout for Harris, https://app.vantagedatahouse.com/analysis/TheBlowoutNoOneSeesComing-1

[–] [email protected] 8 points 13 hours ago (3 children)

Do you want them to not make any predictions until voting is over or what?

[–] rockSlayer 18 points 13 hours ago

That would be an improvement

[–] spankmonkey 11 points 13 hours ago (1 children)

YES (no predictions)

Honestly there should be zero results posted until all votes are counted. Counting as they come in influences later voters, especially in western time zones.

I thought there was an election in the not too distant past where the news declared a winner before Hawaii even finished voting.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 10 hours ago (1 children)

I disagree with the "no predictions" part, but fully 100% agree with not releasing any results until all votes are tallied.

[–] spankmonkey 1 points 10 hours ago

What would they base predictions on without results?

[–] [email protected] 13 points 13 hours ago (1 children)

Yes, that is what we want.

[–] [email protected] -1 points 13 hours ago

OK, good luck with that.

[–] [email protected] 74 points 14 hours ago (1 children)

I wouldn't say giving Harris a 50.4 percent chance of winning is predicting her to win. That's effectively a coin toss.

[–] [email protected] 35 points 14 hours ago (1 children)

yeah, I really hate seeing these types of articles during elections. some will skim past it and go "well, its cool. I don't need to vote, she got it" and that kind of lazyness is how elections are lost.

[–] WhatAmLemmy 15 points 14 hours ago

That's the whole point. America's plutocracy — who own most of the media — want a fascist dictatorship. They've been financing and amplifying Trump the entire time.

What more could a capitalist want than no competition, low/zero taxes, and not having to worry about the risk that democracy represents to their wealth and power...

[–] [email protected] 8 points 9 hours ago

Please make it so

[–] [email protected] 40 points 14 hours ago

Vote. Pressure those around you to vote as well. I had to watch Gore lose, Hillary lose, we can't keep doing this.

[–] Ellvix 35 points 14 hours ago* (last edited 14 hours ago) (1 children)

Articles like this are going to make people think they don't have to vote. Ffs

[–] EndOfLine 17 points 13 hours ago

I can't help but feel like that's the point.

[–] sudo_shinespark 28 points 14 hours ago

Cool story, bro.

PLEASE GO VOTE IF YOU HAVEN’T ALREADY

[–] jaggedrobotpubes 22 points 14 hours ago

Every poll is a lie. Vote!

[–] DirkMcCallahan 15 points 13 hours ago

This is extremely misleading. Most data-driven outlets are open about saying that a 51% chance of a Harris victory is essentially a coin flip.

And the ones that are based off of gut feelings rather than data? They're less than useless.

[–] paddirn 13 points 13 hours ago

Until the votes are counted, this doesn't mean shit.

[–] HorreC 3 points 10 hours ago (1 children)

I love how the only time @[email protected] gets a positive subject rating is only if its towing the line info (not that its not factual, some times with a bad title) but the other posts where they make great points or even just reporting other facts, and they downvote them into the ground.

[–] return2ozma 2 points 10 hours ago

I'm a little controversial here I guess hah

[–] [email protected] 11 points 14 hours ago

I’m hopping this is true!

Please vote everyone!

[–] [email protected] 9 points 13 hours ago

But remember, we DO. NOT. LET. UP.

Not until every vote has been cast. Not until it's over. Don't get cocky, this is the narrowest race I've ever seen and by god there is no room for apathy or overconfidence.