[-] TropicalDingdong 3 points 10 hours ago

this is why we have to invest in things like pipeline now

[-] TropicalDingdong 3 points 10 hours ago

There and better and worse variants, but the fundamental issue I'm identifying is the tendency to want to believe 'good stories'. I think it's a profoundly human flaw, related to our evolution and history as a species that tells stories to transmit information. We believe a good story. It's pleasurable to lose yourself in story. You remember good stories. But a story being 'good' has little and less to do with it being true.

While we're discussing this issue in the light of conspiracy theories with no basis, I think the flaw extends to all domains of human life where communication and evaluation are necessary.

[-] TropicalDingdong 21 points 11 hours ago

Because its pleasurable to believe in "secret knowledge", that you are in the knowing group, and everyone else is the "out group".

GME, and its associated cult.

Christians and Zionists.

Qanon.

Its all basically the same at its roots, which is that humans take pleasure in a good story, and rather than believe what we think is most likely, we more often choose to believe that which makes us feel special.

[-] TropicalDingdong 7 points 11 hours ago

Arguably, grass roots activism is the only thing that has ever changed this society for the better, ever.

[-] TropicalDingdong 3 points 11 hours ago

Bruh, in Idiocracy, they at least wanted to do the right thing, even if they were too dumb to do so.

[-] TropicalDingdong 1 points 13 hours ago

"A valid, a made muppet, he [Fozzie]] suffered a different burden, the burden of perfection."

"Wakka wakka wakka..."

[-] TropicalDingdong 16 points 14 hours ago* (last edited 14 hours ago)

Scientists in the room who have to base their experiments off other peoples data and results:

Tongue in cheek but this is actually giving me particular headache because of some results (not mine) that should have never been published.

[-] TropicalDingdong 13 points 17 hours ago

That or dumb money is just dumb, and if the cost of money is free, you can just guess at things that might work with thousands of monkeys hitting typewriters.

[-] TropicalDingdong 35 points 17 hours ago
16
submitted 1 week ago by TropicalDingdong to c/wallstreetbets

Oh and it looks like its up another 50% ah.

Its going to be one of "those" days tomorrow.

63
submitted 1 week ago by TropicalDingdong to c/wallstreetbets
1
submitted 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago) by TropicalDingdong to c/wallstreetbets

The stock is up 30% you 📰 🖐 's

Note: This would be RoaringKitty's first live stream in 3 years.

19
submitted 1 week ago by TropicalDingdong to c/wallstreetbets

My reaction when those calls put on another 200% today:

8

Historical doors from ~1700-1900.

55
submitted 1 week ago by TropicalDingdong to c/politics
-1
submitted 3 weeks ago by TropicalDingdong to c/wallstreetbets

Since ARM got listed at $45 back in October, its seen a pretty good run-up. It peaked at around 160 after its listing and has been able to hold up at least 90 since then. Neat but nothing spectacular. Nothing crazy but prob a good ROI if you were interested in buying the day of.

Since then we've seen Apple further commit to the ARM based M4 chips. Now its Microsoft seems fully committed to ARM based processors for whatever their new "AI on platform" product is going to be.

We're also seeing a whole new form-factor of device with the steam deck and its new competitors. ARM is not there yet in terms of being able to run all of the software that has been built around the x86 architecture, but we also just got the news of Microsoft releasing the PRISM x86 to ARM interoperability layer. Now is it good? Idk. Likely ymmv.

So lets summarize. The two biggest hardware+ecosystem players both seem fully committed to ARM. ARM runs cooler, and more power efficient than x86, but until very recently, no one was designing around it for 'performance system'; its domain was that of embedded hardware and phones. We have a whole new class of products gaining market penetration in the form of hand-held gaming PC's or steam deck type products. These products would benefit MASSIVELY in terms of performance with better performance/ power ratios. Likewise, with the advances in ML, manufacturers are looking to move inference onto device. And this is exactly what Microsoft and Apple appear to be doing. All of this depends on ARM.

Now the bad. ARM had a bad earnings last quarter and the price dumped from 160 to 90. Its recovered to 115 since then. However, it didn't have the press that it does now. The new Microsoft line wasn't out yet. We hadn't heard of or seen the release of the M4s. I think there is good news out there in the mix for ARM this quarter.

Ultimately, some company is going to have to get in there and compete for AI acceleration, and doing so in a more cost effective, more power efficient way seems like a no brainer.

If you are thinking about microprocessors, you first question should always be "Where is Jim Keller eating lunch"? The answer? Tenstorrent. They aren't publicly traded yet, but guess what architecture they are building around?

You guessed it. ARM/ Risk-V. You follow Jim Keller around not because Jim Keller knows the future, but because the future follows Jim Keller around.

TLDR: ARM is massively undervalued and represents the future of computing for smaller, cooler, more powerful computing and AI. Its what Jim Keller has decided to spend his time on. If you just throw your money at whereever Jim Keller is currently working, you'll make bank.

Positions: Shares that I bought at listing that have given me a very noice ROI (not selling options on them), and the August 15th $115 calls. I'm planning to hold the calls through the earnings run up, and I'll hopefully sell some of them to cover the cost of the position to hold at least a few through earnings. ARM is still very new, so earnings could be a mixed bag.

26
submitted 4 weeks ago by TropicalDingdong to c/[email protected]

Members of GOP violating Trumps gag order on his behalf.

1
submitted 1 month ago by TropicalDingdong to c/lemonheads

Don Lemon is joined by Comedian Roy Wood Jr. for a personal look at the actor's life after leaving The Daily Show. They discuss the current state of news and comedy's growing role in politics. Don confronts Roy about his performance at the White House Correspondents dinner, and in turn receives a heartfelt apology.

WATCH & Subscribe on YouTube @TheDonLemonShow!

Listen on Apple, Spotify and iHeart Radio!

00:00 - Intro

01:40 - Post Daily Show Life/Consuming Media

08:30 - Being Associated with The Daily Show

09:09 - Leaving The Daily Show

19:20 - The Media Landscape/Political Satire

25:00 - Joking About Donald Trump and Politicians

31:56 - Should comedians be held responsible?

34:38 - White House Correspondents Dinner

38:02 - Crossing the Line in Comedy

44:30 - Racism in Comedy

48:07 - Roy Wood Jr.’s favorite comedians

50:05 - Kendrick /Drake Beef

54:27 - Black Men Supporting Trump

56:00 - Coming up for Roy Wood Jr.

56:30 - Roy’s Apology to Don Lemon’s mother

4
submitted 1 month ago by TropicalDingdong to c/lemonheads

Don Lemon sits down with Comedian and TV host Bassem Youssef for a HEATED discussion about Israel and the situation in Gaza. They dive into the presidential election, Biden's support for Israel, & the responsibility of the American media. What should Biden do? Is American perception of the conflict shifting? Tune in to find out!

WATCH & Subscribe on YouTube @TheDonLemonShow!

Listen on Apple, Spotify and iHeart Radio!

00:00 - Intro

00:50 - Situation in Rafah

02:43 - Is Israel being held to account?

04:27 - What about October 7th?

06:50 - Biden's Support for Israel

10:25 - Is Israel an "apartheid" regime?

13:45 - What should Biden and U.S. politicians do?

18:26 - Can the aid be used by Hamas?

19:08 - Origins of Hamas

22:15 - Peace Deal

23:43 - U.S. / Israel Relationship

27:05 - Presidential Candidates Supporting Israel

29:05 - Trump on Biden's Israel Policies

31:28 - Generational Gap on Gaza and Israel

32:50 - Hillary Clinton's Statements

35:10 - College Protests

36:50 - Bassem's Family

38:05 - Why does Bassem Youssef resonate with so many?

41:25 - Polling and Voting

43:05 - Zionism

45:30 - How has this affected Bassem's career?

46:40 - The future of the media

47:15 - Media Coverage of College Protests

12
submitted 1 month ago by TropicalDingdong to c/data_vizualisations

Differential polling error is calculated for the 2020 election as the relative difference in polling error for two candidates (Biden and Trump).

Relative error is calculated as (observed−expected)/observed, where the “observed” value represents actual election results, and the “expected” value denotes the predicted results from polls. Differential polling error is actuated as the relative error for candidate Trump minus the relative error for candidate Biden.

This statistics combines the relative polling under and over performance for each candidate. For example, in the state of Utah, if Joe Biden is under-performs his polls by 4% (-4% relative error), and Trump out-performs his polls by 8% (8% relative error), the differential polling error for this state would be (8%) - (-4%), or 12%, meaning that for this state, candidate Trump had a 12% advantage relative to polling.

I omitted 3 voting states or districts for this analysis: Hawaii, Alaska, and District of Columbia.

Hawaii and Alaska would have made the state by state visualization tiny, and made a not very attractive map. The District of Columbia can be considered an outlier in this study in that Trump signficantly under-performed his polling there (but his polling in DC was incredibly low). Trump was polling at around 12% in DC prior to election day, and gathered around 5% of the vote on election day. His relative performance would be about 120%, which would have thrown the color scheme way out of wack.

8
submitted 1 month ago by TropicalDingdong to c/data_vizualisations

Polling performance for the 2020 election between Joe Biden and Donald Trump. Relative error is a metric for evaluating the accuracy of poll predictions relative to actual voting outcomes. Relative error is calculated as (observed−expected)/observed, where the "observed" value represents actual election results, and the "expected" value denotes the predicted results from polls. This statistic helps to identify the proportion by which polls under or overestimate support for a candidate. In this figure, a positive relative error indicates that the polls underestimated the candidate's actual support, while a negative value suggests an overestimation.

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TropicalDingdong

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