this post was submitted on 08 Nov 2023
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[–] msbeta1421 97 points 1 year ago (9 children)

So basically,

  1. Banks will repossess vehicles to try and minimise losses
  2. Banks will not be able to sell those repossessed vehicles, resulting in losses
  3. Banks may become insolvent as they are unable to liquidate the vehicles
  4. Government steps in to bail them out

New vehicle prices are not in line with their actual value, so banks are making loans that aren’t covered by the collateral. This is shit management by the banking industry. If it’s impossible to get an auto loan then vehicle prices will eventually fall as supply stacks up. Banks are feeding this cycle by being unrealistic in these loan assessments.

[–] [email protected] 30 points 1 year ago (1 children)

But... But price only go up?
The sky daddy book of economics says price only ever goes up and concentrated wealth is a good thing

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[–] [email protected] 15 points 1 year ago (4 children)
  1. Government steps in to bail them out *with tax money taken from the people who couldn't pay their car note in the first place

So either banks make money or banks take money.

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[–] [email protected] 7 points 1 year ago

4 probably won't happen. The mortgage bailouts were a bit of a special case, because the debt was rolled into securities and spread all over the place. To my knowledge there isn't a secondary market for auto loans, so the scope is limited to individual banks.

What may happen is the FDIC guarantees all deposits like they did with silicon valley bank, which is less bad than a full on bailout.

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[–] TenderfootGungi 87 points 1 year ago (14 children)

Toyota is selling a basic (no ABS brakes, no airbags, crank windows) pickup in the rest of the world for $10,000. They could probably sell a version with the optional safety equipment in the US for $15-20k. But they will not sell it here and mess up the $50-100k luxury pickup gravy train.

https://www.motortrend.com/reviews/2025-toyota-imv-0-pickup-truck-first-drive-review-japan-mobility-show/

[–] [email protected] 35 points 1 year ago (1 children)

At least they aren't doing what the big 3 do with their trucks. A mid range XLT F-150 will cost about the same as a fully decked out Tundra, and a fully decked out F-150 will set you back over $100K, but these were sold for $50-$75K just before the pandemic, so what changed? They just decided to charge more due to greed.

[–] [email protected] 16 points 1 year ago (1 children)

I look at it as fleecing the assholes who buy those fucking things for vanity. Keep it up Ford and GM. Make them go fucking broke.

[–] [email protected] 7 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Maverick is okay, if you can find a hybrid.

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[–] [email protected] 7 points 1 year ago

And also the chicken tax

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[–] malloc 63 points 1 year ago (2 children)

The shift towards massive vehicles (SUVs) and trucks loaded to the tits with tech junk is to blame. Auto industry sold the idea to Americans that their fat ass needs a compensator instead of psychiatric help.

[–] Pasta4u 8 points 1 year ago (13 children)

Nah.

It's poor planing and over spending that is the issue. People who lease cars are on an endless cycle of never owning anything and always laying a premium.

Just actually buy a car you can actually afford.monthly payments on and drive the car into the ground. Every car in have owned has made it at least a decade and a 150k miles. Once you are done paying off take what the monthly payment would be and out it into two banks account split 20/80. Woth the 80% being towards a new car and the 20% being for repairs.

[–] TenderfootGungi 15 points 1 year ago (2 children)

My wife’s Honda has over 300k and still runs fine and doesn’t use oil. We put $10k aside for an emergency down payment, but every month it keeps going we are a few hundred dollars wealthier.

[–] Sparlock 9 points 1 year ago (3 children)

I laugh at my buddies who constantly need to have new vehicle.

Too many see their car as a measure of their worth.

Funny thing is my wife bought herself a beat up 1980 squarebody pickup for hauling stuff around the farm and you cannot take it out anywhere without people stopping to comment it and she only paid 4k for it.. Hell, we have near weekly offers from strangers to buy it off of us at a premium. I want to emphasise it is not some pavement princess it has whiskey wrinkles from past owners and plenty of rusty bits.

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[–] KpntAutismus 7 points 1 year ago

that's what i'm hoping for with my 1st gen yaris, 100k and no signs of wear besides the 3 previous owners fucking up the clutch and synchronizer gears.

[–] orrk 10 points 1 year ago (4 children)

poor planing

well you got the poor part right

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[–] [email protected] 7 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (1 children)

Exactly. I like cars so it starts to suck keeping them for 10 years but otherwise I'd be in continual car payments.

Also taxes and insurance get cheaper as the car gets older too, so that helps.

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[–] QuarterSwede 7 points 1 year ago

Auto industry sold the idea to Americans that their fat ass needs a compensator instead of psychiatric help.

True or not, that got a good belly laugh out of me.

[–] Nobody 55 points 1 year ago (1 children)

People in power will squeeze and squeeze. They’ll crank up the interest rates. They want you to default on the equity. Take your payments and your car. That’s how they make their money.

[–] CADmonkey 11 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Have to be sure they don't repo a running usuable car, then.

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[–] mountainman131 30 points 1 year ago (3 children)

My wife and I bought a Nissan Rogue in 2020 for 22K. 2020 model with 1400miles on it. We paid it off in 3 years. Today with 35k miles on it the trade in value is 23k at the Nissan Dealership. What a crazy time in the industry!

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[–] Adalast 29 points 1 year ago (2 children)

So what I'm seeing is to find any way I can to short the auto lenders so when they declare bankruptcy I can finally be able to afford a car?

[–] Wogi 7 points 1 year ago

"ok Google, how do I buy a short position on auto lenders?"

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[–] [email protected] 25 points 1 year ago (12 children)

Car payments are a poverty trap. Save and pay cash for cars, it's harder now that used prices are absurd, but it doesn't change the math.

[–] [email protected] 59 points 1 year ago (39 children)

It's not harder. It's not possible for a vast majority of people. You're telling people that are delinquent on their auto loans to "just pay cash" for used cars that are thousands of dollars. Sure you can find a beater for $800-1500 but what happens when the transmission goes or the engine throws a cylinder? Those of us with auto loans don't have the liquidity to pay outright for a decent vehicle.

[–] [email protected] 13 points 1 year ago (1 children)

You don't need to drive a beater forever. At this level cars are basically worth the same you bought them for. A year of driving a 1k beater and saving 500 a month that is less than an average payment leaves you with 7k for a better car.

[–] [email protected] 15 points 1 year ago (4 children)

Minimum wage in most of the USA is $7.25. Working 40 hours a week, 4 weeks of the month is $1160 dollars before taxes and all the other bullshit. Where exactly is that $500 to save coming from?

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[–] I_Clean_Here 22 points 1 year ago

American banks fucking the world once again.

[–] tacosplease 19 points 1 year ago (3 children)

I don't understand how people buy new cars. They cost like 1/4 of a house.

[–] [email protected] 12 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (1 children)

Debt that they can't afford. You can get approved generally for more debt than you can feasibly make payments on. Easier for a working class schmo to get approved for a $90K truck than a $500K house.

[–] RGB3x3 12 points 1 year ago (4 children)

Who the fuck pays $90k for a truck?

Anybody willing to do that deserves it.

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[–] afraid_of_zombies 17 points 1 year ago (3 children)

Hopefully. Maybe I wont see so many people who make very little money driving pickups so large they can't even park them right and then returning them 4 years later to get an even larger one.

I have an economy car. My whole family fits it, it is already more car than I actually need. I bought it when it was 5 years old. I will repair it until the point it can no longer be repaired. At which point I will buy another reliable used economy car in cash.

A car is not an experience, it is not a status symbol, it is not compensation for your tiny penis, it is not for showing off, it is a machine that moves humans and goods from A to B.

I have known a retired accountant who lived in an apartment with an oversized pickup, I have known people who make $11 dollars an hour with a bright shiny pickup, I have known a small retail store manager drive around in a Hummer they got modified to look militarish-copish, homemakers with one kid with a SUV that sits 8, people on the verge of bankruptcy telling me how they will be rich restoring a mercedes from the 70s.

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[–] LifeOfChance 13 points 1 year ago (11 children)

My wife's head gasket went and we had to decide do we get a new car or replace the entire engine and the fact the engine was the better option these days is just wild. Those new monthly payments are wild

[–] [email protected] 14 points 1 year ago (1 children)

I mean, that kinda makes sense? An engine should be cheaper than a whole car, shouldn't it?

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[–] [email protected] 12 points 1 year ago (4 children)

Where are we on the whole used car market thing? This could get wiggly if tons of people can't pay their car note, but for at least the first few they might actually be able to sell and turn around some money. Not a ton, mind, but until recently it was a given that your car is worth less than you owe on it.

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