this post was submitted on 30 Aug 2023
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Hurricane Idalia strengthened to a dangerous Category 4 storm Wednesday morning as it steamed toward Florida’s Big Bend region and threatened to unleash life-threatening storm surges and rainfall.

Florida residents living in vulnerable coastal areas were ordered to pack up and leave as Hurricane Idalia gained strength in the warm waters of the Gulf of Mexico, and authorities warned of a “catastrophic storm surge and destructive winds” when the storm moves ashore later Wednesday morning.

Idalia was projected to come ashore as a Category 4 storm with sustained winds of at least 130 mph (209 kph) in the lightly populated Big Bend region, where the Florida Panhandle curves into the peninsula. The result could be a big blow to a state still dealing with lingering damage from last year’s Hurricane Ian. It had grown into a Category 2 system on Tuesday afternoon and became a Category 3 just hours earlier Wednesday.

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[–] FlyingSquid 54 points 1 year ago (2 children)

Keep denying climate change DeSantis. Bastard.

[–] Sacha 19 points 1 year ago

No no, you see the true cause of hurricanes and other natural disasters is wokeness and the LGBT community. Hie's doing a great job tackling the real issues.

...../barfs

[–] solidgrue 9 points 1 year ago

Sadly, even a direct hit from a Cat 4 won't wash the stank of his brand of politics out of Tallahassee

[–] NatakuNox 30 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Religious nuts won't see this as divine intervention. But if it hit say a blue state, "God is punishing you for your transgressions!"

[–] Yokozuna 8 points 1 year ago

Living down here, I always find it funny when a hurricane is in the gulf - people start praying it doesn't come their way. Like, yea God, fuck those people over there but we're cool so fuck up their lives and not ours, please ok thanks.

[–] Zella111 24 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Feeling very lucky in Ocala. We went from being told we'd get nailed with 60 - 70 mph winds and 6" of rain to an inch or 2 of rain and 30 mph winds. That shift north saved us but others will be unprepared because of it.

[–] Tedrow 3 points 1 year ago

Feeling the same way. I'm glad you are safe though. It's just best to be fully prepared if you are anywhere close to where they think it's going. Couple hours outside the cone a couple days out? Get prepared because that cone can shift drastically so fast.

[–] Stinkywinks 12 points 1 year ago

Hurry, strap desantis to a kite

[–] [email protected] 3 points 1 year ago (3 children)

Damn I'm misinformed I really thought it was weakening.

[–] FlyingSquid 18 points 1 year ago (2 children)

It isn't weakening, but just get out a sharpie and change the path. Everyone saved!

[–] [email protected] 6 points 1 year ago (1 children)

I only have a marks-a-lot can I substitute that or do I need a divine sharpie?

[–] FlyingSquid 4 points 1 year ago

That depends. Are you president of the United States?

[–] [email protected] 5 points 1 year ago

I hear nuking hurricanes can help too.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago)

It never hit cat 4. It was a lower cat 3. It was traveling quite fast and didn’t have a chance to do any eye wall replacements before landfall. So it actually weakened a bit (the first part of the replacement cycle) when it hit landfall.

Keaton, Perry and Valdosta are probably gonna get fucked up. Unfortunately Perry is quite rural. Theres not a lot of money there, lots of folks in trailers and substandard housing and thus, its more dangerous.

But this wasn’t a “Michael” event. It does seem the NHS took a different tact this year on their predictions and warnings. Not of the major intensity models had it hitting a 4 (hwrf, hmon, etc). But they were saying it anyway. Had some folks panicking quite a bit in my area.

They were right in that a major hadn’t hit Appalachee bay, but that’s because Mexico beach and cape san blas are like, 10 minutes west of that demarcation point.

[–] chuckleslord 1 points 1 year ago (2 children)

It did weaken to Category 3 before it made landfall

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (1 children)

It never hit a 4. Wasn’t really predicted to either by any of the models. It was moving too fast to really intensify. The NhC did take a bit of a different tact and so did a lot of the TV forecasters and for those of us that tend to monitor the data on places like tropical tidbits and from NWS it seemed like a juxtaposition. It had a lot of folks in a bit of a panic over n my area.

Here’s intensity tracking and modeling from 00z to 06z to 12z today. The 0 point is actual intensity and those are usually bumped up just a bit from recon sounding data. And that tracked as well they tend to err on the side of higher values over median or mean

Here’s 18z yesterday.

[–] chuckleslord 1 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Hey, I can't read any of this and don't understand it. I'm just repeating what can be found all over about the hurricane, that it had intensified to a Cat 4 hours before landfall, but had gone back to a category 3 before as well. Sorry if I was wrong to say what everyone is reporting.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago)

Yeah I get it. Everytime there’s a us landfall storm a LOT of misreporting occurs. Just trying to put accurate information out there.

The different between a 3 (where trees can fall and damage can happen) and a 4-5 (where houses will be leveled) can be quite extreme.

In the past the National Weather Service and National Hurricane Center always stayed more conservative to calm folks.

The last few years though, it seems like the media equivalent of doomscrolling with exaggerated reports and lots of wild predictions. Especially after Michael.

For example my local center said the same with something like this which is technical true but only because Hurricane Michael was like…4 miles east of that left hand point where that little island/peninsula juts out.

It’s definitely caused a lot of panic and put more people on the roads late last night, which was less safe. My wife was even trying similar.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 year ago

So Im gonna come back here and say sorry. I went and looked back at the news and they stated that NHC did in fact classify it as Cat4 for a brief time (doesnt seem based on data, but speculation that it would intensify...)

[–] Treczoks 2 points 1 year ago

Global warming denier country hit by hurricane made possible by global warming.

This f-ing thing was a tropical depression at the end of last week, and turned into a full Cat 4 just within the gulf within a few days.

[–] [email protected] 0 points 1 year ago

Poor little Perry is going to get rocked.