This is impossible to fix with capitalism. Capitalism demands infinite growth. We're going to have to start working on antigravity now to escape this dead planet (the plot to interstellar).
Climate - truthful information about climate, related activism and politics.
Discussion of climate, how it is changing, activism around that, the politics, and the energy systems change we need in order to stabilize things.
As a starting point, the burning of fossil fuels, and to a lesser extent deforestation and release of methane are responsible for the warming in recent decades:
How much each change to the atmosphere has warmed the world:
Recommended actions to cut greenhouse gas emissions in the near future:
Anti-science, inactivism, and unsupported conspiracy theories are not ok here.
I always want to reply with that chart on every post about some magical new climate technology. Nothing really matters until we stop pulling carbon-based fuels out of the ground and lighting them on fire. That’s it. That’s the only thing that matters. Wind and solar are great but we’re still approving gas/coal/oil projects, at least globally.
It’s like with the water crisis in the American West. They guilt trip individuals into feeling bad about taking showers but it’s like 80% agriculture. And the majority of that is for animal feed. (I’m not saying everyone go vegan. That’s about as unrealistic as asking everyone to stop fucking to keep the population from growing. I’m saying don’t grow alfalfa in the fucking desert and then blame people who bathe.)
This is an excellent point. The energy transition is more accurately an energy addition. Some renewables on top of a still-increasing pile of burning fossil fuels.
Same with EVs. More are being sold every year but more ICE cars are being sold, too.
Until the fossil fuel industry actually shrinks, things are hopeless.
Seeing those alfalfa farms all over my desert state turns me into an extremist.
Nothing really matters until we stop pulling carbon-based fuels out of the ground and lighting them on fire.
I say it all the time. The only possible way to keep carbon from outside the carbon cycle from entering the carbon cycle is to stop taking carbon from outside the carbon cycle and putting it into the carbon cycle. No amount of coal plant filtration or growing trees or building wind farms will take carbon from inside the carbon cycle out of the carbon cycle.
400 ppm is too much, and the mechanisms for putting that carbon in the ground is gone and never coming back. The best we can possibly do is stop making it worse, and we won't, because everyone wants to have a whole chicken in their fridge that'll end up rotting because the availability of goods, whether we'll actually consume them or not, is the most important thing in the world.
I bought CO2 sensors for an Arduino project. The firmware is calibrated to 400 ppm. It is rapidly becoming in accurate because baseline keeps going up.
I find the people with hope genuinely confusing at this point.
To lose hope for a better tomorrow is to roll over and accept the worst
I'll fight to my dying breath for a better tomorrow because I have hope in achieving that goal
Even if that better tomorrow is only slightly better than no change or if that better tomorrow is making sure that those I care about aren't completely up a creek if shit goes sideways
Anything is better than rolling over and letting the world go to shit like a loaded up semi with no brakes down a mountain
Because the alternative is to become a pessimistic doomer and tune out pretending it's all hopeless?
Oh the earth will recover eventually! It's even possible humanity survives in some form!
Oh yeah Earth will be fine. It's survived worse than us and will be here long after we've died, almost certainly by our own hands. We aren't even the first mass extinction event to come from a mistake from within instead of an external force like a meteor but instead of runaway, macro-metastatic evolution. There was a blight of early trees in the carboniferous period that stored too much carbon leading to an ice age because the means of their efficient decomposition had not yet evolved, causing the opposite of what we're doing, leading to an ice age.
Life on Earth suffered, many species went extinct, as some do constantly even in good times, but Earth always recovers. We sadly fashion ourselves masters of this word rather than children and subjects, but we couldn't sterilize this planet if we wanted to. There's life in acid pools, in crevices we can't find, in depths we can't reach. Until the Sun's output changes enough in a couple billion years, life will most likely find a way here.
I take comfort, just as George Carlin did, in knowing that we will just be an evolutionary cul-de-sac, quickly forgotten by the living Earth we tried to dominate and rape as our private property.
The funniest bit to me is that for all the idiotic religions people kill one another over, demanding theirs has the largest penis and other believers of gods with smaller penises must convert or die, it was a rare thing indeed for humans to actually respect their actual God, their actual creator, the real one they can and do see every single day, the one we are, in objective fact, made of. Oh the dark irony of desperately seeking approval from a fictional "sky daddy" creator that we often anthropomorphize out of vanity to look and act and think like us, while raping, plundering, polluting, and defacing our true God as thoughtlessly as breathing.
I don't have any hope, but I'm sure as hell not going to roll over and take it.
And for what?
For that.
Lines must go up.
society lacks a plan. wealth inequality has been going up since before 2000. but somehow, society just carried on. "if we work hard, i'm sure it will turn out alright."
the current social divide (poor/rich, not dem/rep) was predictable long ago. what do you expect? 10 or 20 years ago would have been the perfect time to question the fundamentals of society and decide where society really wants to go - to develop in the long term.
now we're here. now's the 3rd best time to figure out how society should develop in the long term. think about it.
Whatever dent we make today will be visible in decades. This is Moses in the desert, people, if we do what's right, we won't see the promised land, but our descendants will
It's hard not to feel nihilistic. Especially because even in the worst case scenario, it's extremely unlikely that humans will become extinct. No, the worst case scenario is worse than that: the people who are most responsible for exacerbating the climate crisis will also be the ones with the resources available to shield themselves from the devastation. Even if society as we know it completely collapses, people will survive, and on our current trajectory, those people will be the worst of us.
For me, it's less about saving the planet from the climate crisis, more about doing what little I can to maximise the likelihood that the people who inherit the earth aren't the assholes who are willfully profiting from human misery — the ones who see themselves as the greater good.
Sometimes when I feel hopeless about humanity's chance to liberate ourselves before climate catastrophe truly rolls in, I wonder whether it'd be better if humans were gone entirely. Maybe I'd rather see the world burn completely than for it to go to the disgusting people who make me ashamed to be human. Ultimately, I don't believe this — I'd be dead already if I did. I don't think my life matters all that much, but I'm not one of the people who would be deemed worth saving by the billionaires and autocrats, so I might as well stick around and fight for, and with all the other forsaken people to build things that are worth preserving; I figure that communities and solidarity will be even more crucial in the future than now.
A few years ago, my best friend was in a coma and on a ventilator for a few months, before eventually dying. The hardest part of that period was when we didn't know whether he would survive or not, because I had to go about my life despite his absence, and yet I couldn't grieve yet. That feels sort of like how climate change feels now. I want to grieve, but I can't, because there's still work to do. The earth isn't dead yet, and unlike when my friend was in hospital, my actions do have an impact on the end outcome. The analogy breaks down though, because I did get the chance to grieve my friend's death, there won't be a checkpoint like that for me, because the world won't end, per se. The only thing that'll be ending is my ability to impact the world, when I'm too dead to grieve for anything.
I imagine my desire to see the world burn rather than hand it over to the undeserving probably stems from a desperate desire to grieve what has already been lost, and what has not yet been lost, but will be. I wish I could allow myself the chance to despair, because that can be healing, eventually, but there simply isn't time to do that precisely because this isn't about me and my grief. There's still work to do, and I can't let myself collapse now, lest even more of our descendants future is eroded. I feel hopeful for the future because I have to in order to survive long enough to give the people who come after me a better shot at building something I never could. It's a tremendous amount of pressure though.
I don't see a dent...
You won’t. We’re combatting near-exponential growth. Each year we need to increase our efforts just to prevent worsening, let alone reversal.
This is because the largest accelerant is completely out of our control now. As the ice caps melt, desalinating our oceans, rich black soil is exposed. This soil absorbs and retains heat far more readily than the white ice, accelerating the warming of nearby ground ice. As bacteria begins to break down the newly thawed decaying organisms, large amounts of methane is released into the atmosphere. Methane traps 28x more heat than CO2, then it breaks down into CO2 and water after a decade where it continues to retain heat for centuries.
Not quite correct on methane's half life. The 28x number is based on normal effect and breakdown over a century's time. Over 20 years it's around 84x more than CO2. Over the first few years it can be far over 100x. The caveat of using these numbers now is that they were based on a stable cycle of methane and its fixed-rate reducers in the atmosphere, something that has obviously changed.
The IPCC still sticks to the 28x number though, because it looks better on the spreadsheets. When they even include methane feedback loops, which to my knowledge they still haven't really worked into the hard numbers. Why? Because we're not very sure on how much is being released from year to year, as it's hard to measure. So since the IPCC only works with known variables, they just leave it out of the equation. Makes sense, right? :clown face:
You're right on the rest though. The best result is the methane breaks down quickly, into more CO2 and water vapor. Both GHGs, and the additional water adding to the water content in the atmosphere. Yet another feedback loop.
Our masters prefer profit much much much more than planetary survival.
Only positive thing I can see there is, that the last few years seem to be linear growth instead of the exponential before...
Fuck yes, straight into the wall full speed. Don’t even tap the brakes.
Perhaps we should start actually trying
But we’re out of ideas!
Fine. I'll finally give up plastic straws.
Breaking news, global warming stopped.
And yet you can see the small dent the collapse of USSR made.
The solution is simple: we just need to collapse another 100 USSRs and drop that to two USSRs per year. We did it guise, we solved the climate crisis!
I got one word for you: Vote.
Corporations like BP push individual responsibility and personal carbon footprint[1] to try to neutralize you from achieving real policy gains which would have a much greater impact than your individual action. Time spent trying to convince people to vote for politicians who take climate change seriously is far more productive than time spent trying to educate people about their so-called carbon footprint. Of course we all play a part but seeing this chart it's clear we need more action and that's why I'm saying this.
[1] https://www.nprillinois.org/2023-12-18/how-big-oil-helped-push-the-idea-of-a-carbon-footprint
vote
Stopped reading right there.
No shit, right? Cuz, I mean, it's clearly making a difference and all, just look at the graph! 🙃
I feel like I'm taking fucking crazy pills anymore, i swear
The whole point is that not enough people are voting. Look at how many people stayed home in the most recent US election.
What I'm trying to say if people wanted to make a big impact on climate change they should organize and rally around people who want to stop climate change.
But you could have gotten to the NPR link.
politicians who take climate change seriously
lol