this post was submitted on 21 Oct 2024
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[–] [email protected] 11 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (2 children)

As someone who follows the startup space (and is thinking of starting their own, non-AI driven startup), the issue is all of the easily solvable problems have already been solved. The only thing that shakes up the tree is when new tech comes along and makes some of the old problems easy to solve.

So take a look at crypto - If you wanted to make a tip bot on Telegram, before crypto that was really hard. You needed to register with something like PayPal, have the recipient register with PayPal, etc etc etc. After crypto it was "Hey this person sent you 5$, use this private key if you want to recover it" (btw I made this service and it was used a lot).

Now look at AI - Imagine making a service that detects CSAM before AI took off. As an aside, I did NOT make this service, but I know a group of people who did. Imagine trying to make this without the AI boom - you'd need millions of images for training data, a PhD in machine learning, and so much more. Now, anyone can make it in their basement.

The point is, investors KNOW the bubble is a bubble and that it will pop. It doesn't matter though. They're looking for people who will solve problems that previously cost 1bln to solve with only 1mln of funding. If even 1% of their companies pay off, they make a profit.

[–] GreenKnight23 9 points 1 month ago

bubble after bubble after bubble after...

problem is, the amount of soap(money) that goes around to make the bubbles keeps shrinking because the bubbles are siphoning it away from the consumers.

I wonder what happens when there's no more soap left to go around?

[–] [email protected] 9 points 1 month ago

If even 1% of their companies pay off, they make a profit.

I suspect they make a profit even when 0% pan out. They just need to find someone gullible enough to buy in at the peak, and there's a new sucker born every minute.

[–] utopiah 10 points 1 month ago (1 children)

Eh... "Robin Li says increased accuracy is one of the largest improvements we've seen in Artificial Intelligence. "I think over the past 18 months, that problem has pretty much been solved—meaning when you talk to a chatbot, a frontier model-based chatbot, you can basically trust the answer," the CEO added."

That's plain wrong. Even STOA black box chatbots give wrong answer to the simplest of questions sometimes. That's precisely what NOT being able to trust mean.

How can one believe anything this person is saying?

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[–] LovableSidekick 10 points 1 month ago (1 children)

The AI bubble might be the 2020s' dotcom bubble.

[–] D4MR0D 5 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (1 children)

Crossing fingers it bursts soon

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[–] Snapz 9 points 1 month ago

And they will ALL deserve it.

[–] LemmyBe 9 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (1 children)

Checks to see if Baidu is doing AI…yes, they are. How shocking.

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[–] just_another_person 8 points 1 month ago
[–] Semi_Hemi_Demigod 7 points 1 month ago

Tech makes bubbles because people think it’s magic.

[–] ulkesh 7 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (1 children)

Wow, a CEO who doesn’t buy into the hype? That’s astonishing.

I, for one, cannot wait for the bubble to burst so we can get back to some sense of sanity.

Edit>> Though if Baidu is investing in AI like all the rest, then maybe they just think they’ll be immune — in which case I’m sad again that I haven’t yet come across a CEO who calls bullshit on this nonsense.

AI will have its uses, and it has practical use cases such as helping people to walk or to speak or to translate in real time, etc. But we’re decades away from what all these CEOs seem to think they’re going to cash in on now. And it’ll be fun on some level watching them all be wrong.

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[–] Rhoeri 6 points 1 month ago (1 children)
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