this post was submitted on 13 Feb 2025
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A war would be disastrous for both countries. Especially the US.

As President Donald Trump relentlessly threatens to annex Canada, some Canadians are worried that an American invasion could one day become a reality.

How would that scenario play out? Looking at the sheer size of the American military, many people might believe that Trump would enjoy an easy victory.

That analysis is wrong. If Trump ever decides to use military force to annex Canada, the result would not be determined by a conventional military confrontation between the Canadian and American armies. Rather, a military invasion of Canada would trigger a decades-long violent resistance, which would ultimately destroy the United States.

But in this nightmare scenario, could Canadians successfully resist an American invasion? Absolutely. I know this because I have studied insurgencies around the world for more than two decades, and I have spent time with ordinary people who have fought against powerful invading armies.

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[โ€“] [email protected] 25 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago) (3 children)

Resistance is not futile, the USA has not prevailed (single-handedly) against resistance movements in any country of our size in their history. IEDs are cheap, effective, and relatively easy to make. Canada has farms with fuel oil and fertilizer, and lots of firearms.

[โ€“] FireRetardant -4 points 6 days ago (1 children)

Many of Canada's firearms are outdated in a military sense and the government has been continuing to ban more guns. Many fire arms currently owned by canadians would have already been considered obsolete by the cold war, especially if we are comparing our stockpile to America's.

[โ€“] [email protected] 5 points 6 days ago* (last edited 6 days ago) (1 children)

You're just as dead if you're shot by a Ross rifle or Lee-Enfield as by a whizbang gizmo-addled wank-rifle with 10 attachments and a CDROM drive.

[โ€“] FireRetardant 1 points 6 days ago (1 children)

Sure, but a magazine of 5 in a semi automatic is still a lot less shots than a magazine of 30 in a fully auto rifle. Modern military body armor has come a long way and being a neighbour, america has many naval and air bases already built and fully loaded within striking distance. A surprise strike could significantly cripple canadian military resources.

[โ€“] [email protected] 5 points 6 days ago* (last edited 6 days ago) (1 children)

Yeah, I don't think anyone is arguing that the Canadian military wouldn't get roflstomped in hours. It's more about the insurgency afterwards, I'd say.

Not all the American occupiers can be armed and wearing body armour 100% of the time. They have to sleep and piss occasionally.

[โ€“] [email protected] 3 points 6 days ago

Asymmetric war is just so asymmetrical.

[โ€“] [email protected] 18 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago) (1 children)

I have always been a peaceful and patient person, but there is no way I'm letting a fascist foreign government take over. I would gladly even suicide bomb a foreign invader if it thrwarted their advance and protected my adult kids , and fellow country members, future.

[โ€“] [email protected] 16 points 1 week ago

It's even worse. The US hasn't won against an insurgency ever in its entire history. And really, it hasn't won a single conventional war since WWII either to be honest.

While one side would be forced to fight for its right to exist, the other would be forced to weigh the costs of doing an occupation for decades. Not to mention the hit to moral and public support, which in turn translates to support from your own military.

Frankly speaking, I think the US's own military would refuse to move if ordered, and Trump'll have to replace most of the leadership to make them comply. And even then, there's the thought that most of the soldiers themselves wouldn't want to raise arms against their longest standing ally.