this post was submitted on 13 Feb 2025
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Don’t Test Us, Trump. It Won’t End Well for You (thetyee.ca)
submitted 1 week ago by [email protected] to c/[email protected]
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A war would be disastrous for both countries. Especially the US.

As President Donald Trump relentlessly threatens to annex Canada, some Canadians are worried that an American invasion could one day become a reality.

How would that scenario play out? Looking at the sheer size of the American military, many people might believe that Trump would enjoy an easy victory.

That analysis is wrong. If Trump ever decides to use military force to annex Canada, the result would not be determined by a conventional military confrontation between the Canadian and American armies. Rather, a military invasion of Canada would trigger a decades-long violent resistance, which would ultimately destroy the United States.

But in this nightmare scenario, could Canadians successfully resist an American invasion? Absolutely. I know this because I have studied insurgencies around the world for more than two decades, and I have spent time with ordinary people who have fought against powerful invading armies.

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[–] [email protected] 16 points 1 week ago

It's even worse. The US hasn't won against an insurgency ever in its entire history. And really, it hasn't won a single conventional war since WWII either to be honest.

While one side would be forced to fight for its right to exist, the other would be forced to weigh the costs of doing an occupation for decades. Not to mention the hit to moral and public support, which in turn translates to support from your own military.

Frankly speaking, I think the US's own military would refuse to move if ordered, and Trump'll have to replace most of the leadership to make them comply. And even then, there's the thought that most of the soldiers themselves wouldn't want to raise arms against their longest standing ally.