Hope they have a swift victory. No democracy is secure when someone can seize power without repercussions.
this post was submitted on 19 Aug 2023
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Unfortunately, Mali and Burkina Faso (other military dictatorships in the area) said they would also get involved and back Niger's new military regime. If anything happens, it'll probably escalate into a regional war.
Why did the coup occur? Do the citizens of Niger support the coup?
It has been reported that the Wagner group (Russia) supported the coup in some way. Russia does have an interest in getting African nations to support them instead of the West, so it would make sense.
I could be wrong because I'm definitely not an expert here, but I don't think Wagner has been shown to be involved yet. The junta has asked for Wagner's help and Wagner has been active in several neighbouring countries, so they're absolutely not a million miles away, but it looks like the actual coup happened without them
While Russia has an interest in weakening the regional power, France, Wagner doesn't appear to be involved.
The ousted President was going to fire the chief of the military and the Chief moved first.
Let me get this right.
They're having trouble with Islamic extremists. The president fires the head of the military.
He then complains he has to launch a coup because of the military situation he has failed to resolve so hard he got fired.
He then decides, in his infinite wisdom, to suck up to a Nazi state-run PMC, as an African, because he thinks, what, liberal nations won't ally with military juntas if it makes them money?
I mean Niger (and other West-African nations) have been exploited to hell and back by France (who's probably involved in the current military deployment). No wonder a new government would seek to ally with someone else instead, and I don't think China is in the coup business.
I have absolutely no doubt he plans to yell genuinely fair criticism of the French capitalist devils as he ruthlessly exploits his people in his fascist dictatorship.
If the citizens supported getting the president out, why not vote for it? Coups in democracies are almost always the instrument of those who cannot win elections.
Here is a pretty good breakdown about the situation.
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I hope they succeed. Unfortunately, the people of Niger will suffer either way, but hopefully they will suffer less if the war is quick.
Everyday we inch closer to world war III, aren't we? There are military conflicts all over the world right now. You'd think people would chill out after surviving a global pandemic, but no, apparently not enough people die from pandemic, more must die from armed conflicts as well.
If you think wwIII is going to start because the ECOWAS bloc is entering Niger I have good news for you- it’s not. I’m not sure I follow why multiple military conflicts prove wwIII is coming. The WWs were not an amalgamation of multiple small conflicts. They were larger theaters of war all interconnected, not disjointed like the Ukraine war, Yemeni conflict, and Niger coup are. You’re not really fear mongering, but your fears for the start of wwIII to be born out of any of the wars right now aside from the Ukraine one doesn’t make a lot of sense.
Prior to WWII, there were a lot of different conflicts where most of the main actors in WWII were involved. Spanish civil war with the coupists supported by the nazis, Germany annexing Austria and Czechia, Russia trying to occupy Finland, Italy doing whatever the fuck Italy was doing... Of course, that doesn't mean that a world war is a necessary conclusion, but I wouldn't blame anyone for thinking it's a hint.
All 3 smaller conflicts you just mentioned were all in Europe, and mostly (Spanish revolutionaries and nazis) were perpetrated by fascist. Again I don’t really see the similarity between the 1930s in Europe and the 2020s today. Maybe you could say the Yemeni war is similar to the Spanish civil war in that it’s a proxy conflict- though spains civil war didn’t last as long and had fewer foreign players.
The Japanese even had the anti-Comintern pact of 1936, the precursor to the tripartite pact, that really drew the lines of who was on what side. Again, aside from Russia and China bolstering relations I see almost no similarities between the conflicts happening now, and the Spanish civil war, the invasion Czechia and Austria, and the annexation of Finland. (Well I guess the last one is Russia invading it’s neighbor again, but no one would say wwII started because Russia invaded Finland).
No one cares enough about sub-Saharan Africa for ww3 to start there. The only place I could see ww3 starting in Africa is if the Egyptian military leaves Africa to fuck with Israel again and Israel fires the big bomb