this post was submitted on 24 Jan 2025
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Futurology

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[–] juli 7 points 2 days ago

AI has been so successful that many company have to package it as something that the customers have no choice but to accept it along with the price rise.

But in the books, CEOs get to claim "AI raised the revenue".

[–] sylver_dragon 18 points 2 days ago

AI has been a smashing success at separating venture capitalists from their money. And just like "blockchain" before it, the hype cycle will fall off eventually and VC money will move on to "the next big thing". And hopefully, we can stop having "AI" jammed into everything. Gods know I'll be happy when I can hear about a security tool and the first thing out of the salesman's mouth isn't some drivel about their product being "AI enabled". Which invariably means "it provides a fuckton of false positives, with zero context, explanation or idea what the fuck the model kicked on".

[–] givesomefucks 9 points 2 days ago (2 children)

They can't though...

If you have a super basic task you can automate with a "bot" but it's not real AI and have been around forever

A general I telligence that can handle variation and take correct action from just a prompt is long off.

We won't get real AI till quantum computing has another couple decades under its belt. Then it'll at least be possible

[–] TropicalDingdong 6 points 2 days ago (1 children)

I mean. People said the exact same thing about procedural text generation before the release of their first large transformers models. So the idea that we can or can't say what will happen or what is possible seems misguided.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago)

I get what you are saying, yet I'm still waiting for the flying car to make it into mainstream. By which I mean to say that there are limits to what is possible, even though we might not know exactly where they are with the current generation of tech.

[–] shalafi -1 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago) (1 children)

I used AI to write a script that saved tons of man hours. Could it have been written without AI? Of course! But I suck at coding and get AI help that saved me hours, maybe days, of figuring it out.

Y'all are vastly underestimating how much labor can be skipped with AI.

Sorry! Sorry! This is lemmy where everyone is smarter than the guys throwing around billions of dollars. Because they're idiots and we're not!

[–] givesomefucks 1 points 2 days ago

where everyone is smarter than the guys throwing around billions of dollars.

Then the investor class?

Yeah.

Why, do you think Musk, Bezos, and Bill Gates are geniuses?

They're ruthless businessmesn.

[–] zoostation 8 points 2 days ago

Right, the elephant in the room was always that replacing vast human labor was the holy grail that justified the crazy investment.

[–] RizzRustbolt 1 points 2 days ago

Looks like bailouts are back on the menu.

[–] jrs100000 2 points 2 days ago (1 children)

They dont need to automate all office jobs to turn a profit. Theres about 18 million office workers in the US and they make an average of around 50k per year. Thats about 900 billion per year, and thats just the US without taxes, office space, utilities and other overhead. If AI could increase average office worker productivity by 50% and OpenAI could capture most of that they could pay back their investment within just a few years and become the most profitable company the world has ever seen. The problem, however, is not just technical, its is going to be capturing that economic windfall, and keeping the savings from being passed on to clients and consumers. Political backing from a reckless and authoritarian autocrat might go a long way towards securing that goal.

[–] homesweethomeMrL 2 points 2 days ago (1 children)

I mean, that cart is miles ahead of the horse.

[–] jrs100000 1 points 2 days ago (1 children)

AI agents that can replace humans are miles away, but AI that can improve human output isnt.

[–] homesweethomeMrL 1 points 2 days ago

Mmmmmmmm . . . Sort of kind of, to some extent.

The trade-offs and fine-print and all the hidden steps and caveats to everything - it’s like at least 10 years too early, but the unfathomable hype frenzy means we’re going to get stick with something. A generalizing summary bot is - OK.

If they can ever get it to not have to be double-checked every time it’d be more useful. But the fact is, AI simply doesn’t understand what words mean. Math is good, code is a sort-of in-between. Everything else is a crapshoot.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 2 days ago (1 children)

One little appreciated aspect of the Trump presidency, is that it may include millions of job losses to AI & robotics. I wonder will this be the No 1 issue in the 2028 election ? (if there is one).

[–] [email protected] 9 points 2 days ago (2 children)

Nah, the #1 issue of 2028 will be managing the fallout of the "AI" bubble popping and taking the wildly overinvested American tech sector with it.

[–] givesomefucks 3 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago)

This is why I hate people trying to jump on board and follow politicians investments.

It just makes them more money and makes the bubble bigger when it bursts.

And because people are watching them (with a 2 week delay) after Nancy Pelosi sells a shit ton of people will. She'll make a shit ton of money off insider knowledge and everyone else will panic sell and the bubble doesn't pop, it goes boom.

Speaking of...

https://www.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/nancy-pelosi-sells-apple-nvidia-stock-buys-alphabet-amazon-calls-filing-shows-3820827

Its went up since she sold, but look for a lot more articles like this today where people start questioning the price, and then we're going to start seeing the drop.

A year ago it was $60, today it's $145. She made her bag and got out and everyone that bought because she did will sell too. All they did was make her more money.

[–] MsPenguinette 2 points 2 days ago (1 children)

Tho if I lose my job in 2025 cause Trump tanked the economy with tarrifs or whatnot, I'll def consider applying at Stargate cause 500 bil is enough for them to just be hiring like crazy. It'd at least hold me over till I found another long term gig

[–] [email protected] 2 points 2 days ago (1 children)

The only people applying at Stargate will be Nvidia GPUs

[–] A_A 1 points 2 days ago

... and those who make GPUs (?).