this post was submitted on 05 Dec 2024
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politics

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Summary

Democrat Adam Gray’s victory in California’s 13th district tightens the Republican House majority to 220–215, marking the narrowest margin since the Hoover administration.

The GOP majority is expected to shrink to 217–215 in early 2025 due to Gaetz’s resignation and Stefanik and Waltz’s anticipated departures for the Trump administration.

With this slim majority and internal party divisions, House Republicans face significant challenges in advancing their legislative agenda under the incoming Trump presidency.

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[–] ArgentRaven 56 points 2 weeks ago (2 children)

Don't worry, the Dems will always have their Joe Manchin types that vote with Republicans on everything.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago) (1 children)

I'm more concerned about how many neocon anti-Trumpers are left to ally with against the full throated fascism. "Centrists" are what they are but Manchin would still vote against open genocide against Americans.

[–] Semi_Hemi_Demigod 3 points 2 weeks ago

But if you put that genocide behind a mask and say it’s good for the economy centrists will support it.

Like they support the health insurance industry.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 2 weeks ago

It's actually the GOP that'll now get to enjoy defectors trying to push their own agenda. Politics is going to politics.

[–] EleventhHour 38 points 2 weeks ago

Like the chaos they’ve been sowing for the last four years? Aww, too bad.

[–] [email protected] 33 points 2 weeks ago

They've been chaos for the last 8 years. Did news reporters suddenly wake up from a coma?

[–] [email protected] 20 points 2 weeks ago

Lol. "Internal party divisions" is what we're calling "we can't win the presidency without running (and putting up with) an idiot racist misogynist sociopath", nowadays?

[–] jordanlund 6 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)

Not really... in the current House it's 220 R, 212 D, with 3 vacancies. 1 resignation (R) and 2 deaths (D).

In the new House it will be 220 to 215.

So pretty much the same as it is now.

[–] someguy3 6 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)

The GOP majority is expected to shrink to 217–215 in early 2025 due to Gaetz’s resignation and Stefanik and Waltz’s anticipated departures for the Trump administration.

Whether that amounts to anything (technically it's 1 defection to vote with Dems), we'll see.

[–] jordanlund 1 points 2 weeks ago

In Florida they hold special elections to replace congressmen, so expect Gaetz and Waltz to both be replaced by Republicans 4/1.

https://www.news-journalonline.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/11/25/florida-sets-date-for-special-election-to-replace-congressman-waltz/76572906007/

Not sure on Stefanik... each state is different...

Yeah, that's special election territory as well, in a super red district:

https://www.cityandstateny.com/politics/2024/11/special-election-scramble-be-elise-stefaniks-successor/401046/