this post was submitted on 06 Jun 2024
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https://t.me/oko_gora/12025

๐Ÿ’ฉ Judging by satellite images for today, all ships of the Russian Black Sea Fleet left the port of Novorossiysk.

The reasons for this decision of the Russian leadership and the route of the fleet are still unknown.

In the morning, part of the warships, as well as all the large landing ships, left Novorossiysk.


https://t.me/yigal_levin/67856?single

OSINT researcher HI Sutton reports that according to satellite surveillance data, ships leaving Novorossiysk in the morning (large landing ships and their escort) are moving in formation towards Crimea. Other ships, as previously reported, did indeed leave their berths, but the majority remained in Novorossiysk Bay.

@yigal_levin


https://t.me/Crimeanwind/60829

According to our source, the Russian Black Sea Fleet is currently conducting exercises.

Ships must be brought to their bases after 23:00.

We separate, the outcome is postponed for now.

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[โ€“] doodledup 28 points 4 weeks ago (1 children)

Are they fleeing or are they preparing for an attack?

[โ€“] [email protected] 12 points 4 weeks ago (2 children)

I thought they don't have any cruise missile capable ships left there? What would they attack? I doubt they'd try a landing.

[โ€“] doodledup 12 points 4 weeks ago (1 children)

I thought they don't have any [...] capable ships left there.

[โ€“] [email protected] 9 points 4 weeks ago

They have a few, along with about a half dozen cruise missile capable SSKs, but they are definitely starting to run out.

[โ€“] [email protected] 11 points 4 weeks ago

They just Station some 80mm mortars on the deck and shoot the coast for show.

[โ€“] toofpic 17 points 4 weeks ago (2 children)

Interesting - Novorossiysk was the furthest (from Ukraine) military port in the Black sea, and the ships were there because it's harder to attack them there compared to Crimea. Where else could they hide, run away to Mediterranean? :)
Or am I missing something?

[โ€“] [email protected] 24 points 4 weeks ago* (last edited 4 weeks ago) (1 children)

The best guess I've read is that they will use landing ships to restore ferry service across the Kerch Strait.

[โ€“] [email protected] 33 points 4 weeks ago (1 children)

That sounds like we're about to see a lot of new additions to the involuntary submarine club

[โ€“] IphtashuFitz 7 points 4 weeks ago

One can only hope!

[โ€“] [email protected] 13 points 4 weeks ago (2 children)

Aren't russien military ships barred from crossing the Bosporus?

[โ€“] [email protected] 11 points 4 weeks ago (1 children)

Maybe they can leave, but not enter. Would be kind of funny if they'd abandon the black sea like that.

[โ€“] Sylvartas 14 points 4 weeks ago (1 children)

It's up to Turkey. But according to international treaties they can absolutely forbid them from leaving, iirc

[โ€“] [email protected] 10 points 4 weeks ago

*unless it's to return to their home port, but then they also cannot reenter. I think that most of the non black-sea fleet got out before the war or just was not in there at all

[โ€“] toofpic 8 points 4 weeks ago (1 children)

Turkey controls it, and Turkey does whatever they find useful that day. Right now, Russia sold out "allied" Armenia to Azerbaijan, and Turkey is a part of the regional muslim bloc. I have no idea of their agreements, but it's not like Turkey is anything close to being reliable partner to western countries

[โ€“] [email protected] 3 points 3 weeks ago

Turkey isn't a reliable partner for anyone.

[โ€“] HeyThisIsntTheYMCA 14 points 4 weeks ago

they still have ships? someone should get on that

[โ€“] cabron_offsets 7 points 4 weeks ago

Sink the blyats.

[โ€“] [email protected] 6 points 4 weeks ago

This is a very dangerous exercise in the current drone environment. I guess this maybe an ECM test en force? If the cost-benefit analysis of risking that much tonnage has been met, russian logistics are hurting much, much worse than has been let on to.

[โ€“] partial_accumen 3 points 3 weeks ago

"Looks like meat's back on the menu, boys!"