this post was submitted on 11 Jan 2025
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Climate mystery rule (sh.itjust.works)
submitted 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago) by [email protected] to c/[email protected]
 

Ok so apparently it is an article, not a bulletpoint of the other article as the ui would suggest. According to the article, some model made a while ago predicts we should only be at 1.3% warming this year and not 1.5%. That missing 0.2% is whats the mistery, so kind of misleading headline, especially if you put it in a place that doesn't make it look like an article at all. I only found out because I accidentally clicked on it.

The article (npr.org)

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[โ€“] [email protected] 53 points 1 week ago (1 children)

Who wrote this headline, an AI? It being hotter than models predicted does not mean we didn't expect it to be hotter. A better title could've been: "2024 was mysteriously hotter than climate science predicted" or "global heating smashes scientists' expectations"

[โ€“] [email protected] 9 points 1 week ago

Maybe the models didn't place it as the hottest. Even with an upward trend, not every year has to be hotter than the previous and other factors (or even model inaccuracies) can yield unexplained results.