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The really stupid part of this is that it's happening in solidly blue states. People's individual votes won't get counted but it also probably won't change much.
Rural Oregon is very red. There's a behind the bastards episode on just how many racists there are in Oregon.
But the state itself is solidly blue and a few ballot box fires are not going to change that.
https://www.nationalgeographic.com/history/article/oregon-once-legally-barred-black-people-has-the-state-reconciled-its-racist-past
It was started as a white ethnostate. Some people never really got past that.
Maybe enough to change a local election
Maybe, but I'm guessing that's not the goal here.
Making people doubt the election’s integrity and fear potential violence for voting is probably the goal.
My thinking is this is not an effort to remove ballots, but to generate doubt about the results as well as create a pretext to restrict voting by mail in the future
I don't believe they're thinking that abstractly. They know [Blue State] and go there. Maybe a few are smart enough to go to [Swing State] + [Blue Area], but I think it's about affecting the count moreso. It just seems stochastic, so I think the simplest logic is going to be the most common.
You’re using logic, that’s beyond these people