this post was submitted on 12 Aug 2024
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[–] [email protected] 38 points 3 months ago (3 children)

Yeah. And they're going to continue to be, unfortunately. No pro-Palestinian person is capable of being elected president.

If Harris were willing to be a 1-term president, she could try to force a policy change after she was elected, but even so she'd be constantly fighting congress, who would probably just override whatever veto she threatened. Congress is bought and paid for (with very few exceptions).

It's a little older, but Pew did a fairly comprehensive survey back in March, and public opinion in the US still favored Israel. So Harris would have to buck not only majority public opinion, but it she did it now, she'd give Trump an enormously effective weapon to attack her with, something the Trump campaign is still struggling to find.

I honestly don't know what a practical answer is. Even if she privately disapproves of Israel's actions, I don't think she has any alternative of she wants to stand a chance at being elected.

[–] HomerianSymphony 19 points 3 months ago* (last edited 3 months ago) (2 children)

One thing Harris can do without consulting congress is supporting full Palestinian membership at the UN.

She just has to instruct the state department to instruct the US ambassador to the UN to vote for Palestinian membership. Palestine would be an international recognized state within a week.

It would be the first substantial progress on the Israel-Palestine situation since 1967.

She can do this while continuing to provide military support for Israel. But it would increase legal and diplomatic pressure on Israel.

Perhaps more importantly, it would send a message to Israel: We are willing to depart from the status quo. Don’t take our protection for granted.

[–] TropicalDingdong 9 points 3 months ago

This would be great. She needs these voters and her current approach of calling the people asking for an end to the genocide of the Palestinian people Trump supporters has and will continue to backfire. I think we could all agree that the Walz pickup seemed like a step in the right direction, but her rhetoric has signaled more of the same. There is some argument saying that this is triangulating around AIPAC, but she also needs to recognize that neither AIPAC or Israel want her to win this election, so you don't gain an ally by capitulating to them or their rhetoric,

I think if she did what you suggest, she would stoke their ire, but honestly, I don't think they have the influence they're claimed to. If Democrats had actually stood behind the incumbent squad during those primaries, they would have won. The problem was that D's were all too eager to throw them under the bus. If they had, they would have shown AIPACs weakness in the ability for money to control outcomes, which itself is extremely valuable. Harris needs to be setting up for a wave election and that makes the influence of AIPAC relatively moot. I think she should do what you suggest.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 3 months ago

I didn't know that. It'd still cost her AIPAC support, which could be devastating in the next election, but that would be fantastic of she could pull it off and stay in the running.

[–] Eatspancakes84 7 points 3 months ago (1 children)

I also struggle to see what she can do. She cannot break with the current administration on foreign policy, given that she is the VP. Simply put, we don’t really know her position, and she can’t reveal it either. Dissatisfying? Sure. Understandable? Definitely.

[–] [email protected] -3 points 3 months ago

I have no doubt she'll continue current policy. Honestly, it's not a conspiracy theory to claim Israel has a tight grip on American politics, in a number of ways, and has had for decades. Even if you discount the vast sums of money they contribute to political campaigns at all levels, and the voting blocks they control, they've been our strongest - and only really constant - regional ally in the Middle East. And there's that public sentiment to consider.

It's an uphill battle, and you're right that at the moment she's shielded by her position; however, I doubt she'll shift position is elected. She's shown no sympathy for Palestinians, has shut down protesters, and is still talking the support-Israel even as they commit gross war atrocities.

But regardless of her personal feelings, which we can't know, I think she's going to toe the line Israel draws for her. Like any US President.

[–] Moneo -2 points 3 months ago (1 children)

No pro-Palestinian person is capable of being elected president

This is such a weird assumption. Americans support a ceasefire. Why do we think Kamala will lose the election if she says "Weapon transfers will stop until a ceasefire is reached"? She will instantly gain the rabid support of progressives who will fight tooth and nail to get her elected.

[–] [email protected] 7 points 3 months ago (1 children)

Did you just skip over the Pew study?

For that rabid support, she'll lose far more support from pro-Israel PACs, and pro-Israel communities. These losses would far outweigh the gains she'd get from progressives, none of whom are going to vote for Trump anyway. Trump's even more pro-Israel than Kamala; a pro-Palestine voter would have to be a utter moron to not recognize that Kamala is a better option for Palestinians than Trump. She may keep sending Israel money, but at least she's not actively telling Israel to go ahead and start building gas chambers.

[–] Moneo 0 points 3 months ago* (last edited 3 months ago) (1 children)

Which one? I see one study saying only 13% of dems have any confidence in Bibi.

To be clear. I'm not suggesting Biden should turn on Israel, he won't. I'm suggesting he threaten to cut support to Israel unless Bibi stops doing a genocide. If you can find me a study that says most americans don't support a ceasefire then maybe I'll change my position.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 3 months ago

Yeah, fair. There are a lot of data points in there, and it really depends on how you squint at the results.

Maybe you're right about public opinion. I do still believe that if the AIPAC decided to, say, throw their weight behind Trump, and withdraw contributions to Democrats who sided with cutting support, that it would be a huge advantage to the GOP. They've spread something like $24M in this 24 election cycle, alone; they have an outsized influence on local elections, backing pro-Israel candidates in primaries. With such a tight race, that's a dangerous gamble.

But perhaps I'm overestimating their influence. I know the Jewish community in the US is more divided on Israel's invasion than they usually have been. Still, this election is the most important in my long lifetime, and I'm being quite risk adverse.