this post was submitted on 01 Aug 2024
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This has been a doozy of a year. And it's the best year so far blah blah. So how are you all coping? Does it hit anyone else like a bolt of lightning that probably I - we - won't die of old age?

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[–] LustyArgonianMana 0 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (1 children)

If given infinite resources, yes. I answered you.

The current population will likely be zero, perhaps simply approaching the limit of zero if tardigrades and extremophiles survive. But in terms of multicellular life, yeah, there can be a zero for sure. Because the energy from the sun can theoretically increase exponentially.

It would be cool if our ozone was working perfectly, then, huh? But it's not any more, and is getting worse: https://www.eea.europa.eu/en/topics/in-depth/climate-change-mitigation-reducing-emissions/current-state-of-the-ozone-layer

[–] aidan 2 points 1 month ago (1 children)

If given infinite resources, yes. I answered you.

I again didn't ask that. Its also not true for all populations(such as human populations)

The current population will likely be zero, perhaps simply approaching the limit of zero if tardigrades and extremophiles survive. But in terms of multicellular life, yeah, there can be a zero for sure.

I did ask if there can be either. I asked why you assume it would be.

It would be cool if our ozone was working perfectly, then, huh? But it’s not any more, and is getting worse:

That source seems to indicate that they're not entirely sure why it is getting worse, but it is a combination of factors. However NASA and the the UN say recovery of the ozone layer is still on track for 2040.

[–] LustyArgonianMana 1 points 1 month ago (1 children)

I explained why right after that next sentence if you keep reading

The ozone layer was worse in 2023 compared to 2022 so idk how that's "on track" but okay

[–] aidan 1 points 1 month ago (1 children)

Because if you read, it was predicted to be an anomaly and not a trend

[–] LustyArgonianMana 1 points 1 month ago (1 children)

They don't know what's causing that anomaly. So it could indeed be a trend.

[–] aidan 1 points 1 month ago (1 children)

It could be, but why do you assume it is?

[–] LustyArgonianMana 1 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

Why don't you? If there was a 98% chance your car could explode if you went 30mph-80mph, would you be cautious about going 29mph? Wouldn't you not get close to the lower reference range?

Because that lower reference range is still the reference range. 2025 is still the lower end of the reference range for AMOC collapse, which we expect to have cascading consequences including possible earthquakes and volcanoes.

And honestly, attitudes like yours are exactly what convinced me we were going to die tbh. The people who dissociate and refuse to acknowledge any kind of negative reality because they don't enjoy the biochemical state of being upset. The pandemic, the election - people like you who gaslight about what we can literally see in front of our faces - I get it. You refuse to accept there's a problem so we all will die for it. Cool. I already know. You don't have to keep trying to convince me you all are in severe denial. I won't join you.