this post was submitted on 29 Feb 2024
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An Illinois state judge on Wednesday barred Donald Trump from appearing on the Illinois' Republican presidential primary ballot because of his role in the attack at the U.S. Capitol on Jan. 6, 2021, but she delayed her ruling from taking effect in light of an expected appeal by the former U.S president.

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[–] ghostdoggtv 42 points 8 months ago (5 children)

If current disqualifications hold, Trump will have lost access to 33 electoral college votes and needs 270 to win. Assuming it's Trump vs Biden in the general, that's almost half a California.

2020 went 306-232. Trump won 2016 304-227 partly due to faithless electors.

At the current pace and schedule of the impending Trump trials, and after accounting for judgments already rendered and how those are affecting Republican party bankrolls, it's gonna be a blowout. He's on track to lose another 3 dozen electors by October and that's guessing hyper conservatively

[–] RampageDon 7 points 8 months ago (3 children)

Correct me if I'm wrong but being removed from the primary ballot has no real standing for general election. It doesn't matter that he can't be on the primary when the GOP has chosen him already. It's just posturing. He hasn't lost any electoral votes.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 8 months ago

You're not wrong.

[–] sailingbythelee 2 points 8 months ago (1 children)

You're not wrong. However, it's still massively consequential because if he can be taken off the ballot for the primary, he will also be taken off the ballot for the general. It will be interesting to see how SCOTUS rules. Will they decide to create a new legal test at the federal level? Will they throw it back to Congress? Since they supposedly love states rights so much, will they leave it up to each state to decide?

Each option is incredibly consequential. Option 1 allows the Supreme Court to disqualify candidates. Option 2 turns it into a political contest, like an impeachment proceeding. Option 3 is absolute chaos, since we know some states will disingenuously retaliate by removing Biden from their ballot regardless of whether there is any merit to an insurrection charge.

[–] RampageDon 1 points 8 months ago

Right. I wasn't trying to say that this isn't setting precedent that will help for later rulings. Let's just not count our chickens before they hatch. Some people are acting like Trump is already down electoral votes because of this, which he isn't. That's the only point I was trying to make l.

[–] ghostdoggtv -2 points 8 months ago (1 children)

assuming it's Trump vs Biden in the general

I was just bored crunching numbers on the ride home but I did say the damn ting

[–] RampageDon 2 points 8 months ago (1 children)

I don't understand. Assuming it's Trump vs Biden doesn't change anything about what I said.

[–] ghostdoggtv -4 points 8 months ago (1 children)

You stopped short again. Cheers.

[–] RampageDon 3 points 8 months ago (1 children)

I just said I didn't understand your comment. That was your chance to explain to me what you meant or what I was missing. Instead you turned to insults. So I'll just assume not only was your comment wrong and you couldn't explain yourself, you took it personally. That's all the clarification I needed. Cheers!

[–] ghostdoggtv -4 points 8 months ago (2 children)

You feel insulted because I said you stopped short? It's the truth. I fully and openly qualified what I said as a projection into the general election. Your comment seemed to be based on everything up to the words "in the general."

I'll switch to insults if that's what you really prefer.

[–] RampageDon 2 points 8 months ago (1 children)

Literally quotes "assuming it's Trump vs Biden in the general" to try and prove their point no one understands. Then gets mad that the comment after is made about the literal 8 words they quoted as a rebuttal. You are a comical person.

[–] ghostdoggtv -2 points 8 months ago
[–] [email protected] 2 points 8 months ago

You’re an odd little monkey. They didn’t say they were insulted, nor did they try to insult you. You’re being overly hostile at not being understood, and honestly I have no idea what you’re trying to say either.

[–] [email protected] 7 points 8 months ago

Trump was never going to win Illinois anyway.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 8 months ago (2 children)
[–] dohpaz42 16 points 8 months ago (1 children)

And what do these people think Trump would do about Israel?

[–] TheBat 21 points 8 months ago (2 children)

They don't care. They just don't want to be an accomplice by voting for Joe Biden.

They're fine if their inaction leads to Trump winning and fucking up Palestine even more.

At least their 'conscience' will be clear.

Dumbfucks.

[–] [email protected] 9 points 8 months ago (1 children)

I'm baffled as to how people can knowingly make things worse and feel good about because what they did was "right". The whole idea that an action can be right despite making things worse for everyone is completely alien to me, but I know that's literally how some people think.

[–] [email protected] 0 points 8 months ago

Welcome to America, where virtue signaling while making things worse has been refined into an art form.

I’ve literally been told that “not choosing either is the morally correct thing” as if consequences should be thrown out the window.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 8 months ago

If they are voting in the primary, I doubt they will skip the general election. It's more than likely a reminder to the administration that their voter base is not happy with the current decision making. If they are protesting stuff like this, they are most likely D voters anyway (over 90 % of D voters are pro-ceasefire vs 53? % for the R voterbase.

[–] gdog05 6 points 8 months ago

Yeah I'm having a very hard time feeling any comfort with that concept strongly looming.

[–] jj4211 1 points 8 months ago

It's not just a count of electoral votes, the votes are not '50/50' shot. Colorado has been consistently democrat for 16 years , Illinois and Maine for like 30 years. These weren't going to Trump no way no how.