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372

Probability.... Need I say more?! (literature.cafe)

submitted 9 months ago by [email protected] to c/[email protected]

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[–] SirSamuel 45 points 9 months ago (2 children)

I understand some of these words

Brb, gotta go eat a crayon

[–] [email protected] 40 points 9 months ago* (last edited 9 months ago) (2 children)

There's various technicalities of how and where Beyesian statistics apply to the world but I really interpreted it as meaning "if the world is ending then it doesn't matter and if not then I'm up $50". The Beyesian is just ruthlessly practical.

[–] [email protected] 22 points 9 months ago

That is definitely not the joke. The joke is that the frequentist approach gives you a clearly nonsensical conclusion, because the prior probability of the sun exploding is extremely small.

[–] [email protected] 17 points 9 months ago* (last edited 9 months ago)

Not only that, but there's a higher chance of the detector lying than the Sun supernova-ing, so it's probably a false positive. Yes I did just read some paragraphs from 3–4 Wikipedia articles.

[–] subtext 18 points 9 months ago (1 children)

For the rest of us:

https://www.explainxkcd.com/wiki/index.php/1132:_Frequentists_vs._Bayesians

[–] SirSamuel 6 points 9 months ago

Thank you, I'll check it out eventually

BTW they call it Peach but it tastes like candle