this post was submitted on 20 Sep 2023
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SpaceX's Starlink satellite internet constellation has lost more than two hundred satellites in low Earth orbit (LEO) since July, according to data from a satellite tracking website. This is the first time that Starlink has lost a significant number of satellites in a short time period, and these losses are typically influenced by solar flares that cause changes in orbit and damage or destroy the spacecraft. The nature of the satellites, i.e. their model, is unclear, and if they are the newer Starlink satellites that SpaceX regularly launches, then the firm will have to conduct at least nine Falcon 9 launches to make up for the satellites lost.

Since it is a SpaceX subsidiary, Starlink has rapidly built the world's largest LEO satellite internet constellation and the world's largest satellite constellation by rapidly launching them through the Falcon 9 rocket. However, upgrades to the spacecraft and constraints with the Falcon 9 have reduced the number of satellites that the firm can launch, with its latest launches seeing roughly 22 satellites per launch for a nearly one-third reduction over the 60 satellites that SpaceX launched during the early days of the Starlink buildout.

The newer satellites are second-generation spacecraft that SpaceX received the launch authorization from the FCC less than a year back. They are more powerful and are thus larger and heavier than the earlier satellites, which limits the Falcon 9 ability to squeeze large numbers inside a single payload fairing.

Satellites in orbit or space have to face off against various hazards that can damage or put them out of commission. SpaceX faced one such event in February 2022, when a solar flare damaged at least 40 of the recently launched satellites. SpaceX confirmed this and shared that the heat from the solar flare increased atmospheric density and made it impossible for the satellites to maintain their trajectory.

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[–] echo64 97 points 1 year ago (4 children)

Every time I read anything about starlink, it all just seems so quintessentially American.

You've got effective monopolies of communication infrastructure, which causes everyone to be underserved, and instead of just fixing the monopoly problem, you fire off infinite rockets full of cell towers that burn up in a year

[–] [email protected] 35 points 1 year ago (2 children)

I'm angry at you because I'm about to defend an Elon Musk project... But Starlink is used in many countries. (in)Famously in Ukraine. The idea has merit for anyone living in remote areas (northern Canada, war-torn areas, etc.).

[–] echo64 23 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Ukraine is a fantastic example of how bad the whole thing is playing out. Remote areas are always better served by actual infrastructure investment however.

[–] [email protected] 27 points 1 year ago

It doesn't help to have infrastructure if it's destroyed by war.

[–] [email protected] 8 points 1 year ago (6 children)

The idea has merit for anyone living in remote areas (northern Canada, war-torn areas, etc.)

I will grant you war torn areas, and remote islands, but rural continental communities are better served with terrestrial infrastructure. Just because someone's willing to fill the sky with space junk as a means of masturbation doesn't mean it's the best solution for public infrastructure.

[–] [email protected] 21 points 1 year ago (3 children)

Laying 200km of fiber for a town of ~1000 will always be more expensive than it is worth (for an ISP) and that math only gets worse when you look at last-leg hookups for people spread out ~5km apart around the area and not living directly in the town.

[–] [email protected] 21 points 1 year ago

... which is maybe why things that are essentially critical to a developed country's lifestyle probably shouldn't simply be companies. If we go off of "it's not profitable", public transport wouldn't be any good, postal services would suck, etc.

The internet should be a public service like mail.

Also, in the US they paid the ISPs to hook everyone up to fiber, and then they just... didn't.

[–] virr 4 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago)

Over a long enough term it will be worth it.

But as a said elsewhere neither electricity nor phone being run to rural US homes was cost effective for companies. So the US decided that was shit and paid for it to get done. Started to do the same for internet access. Phone companies refused, used the money for other purposes, inflated prices faster the inflation, etc. and yet neither FTC nor congress held them accountable. Other countries have done the same thing for power and phone, there is nothing fundamentally different about physical internet access stopping anyone from doing the same thing.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Terrestrial includes wireless solutions, which are better suited for many last-leg hookups in situations like these.

Sure, there's a lot of places where these won't work (eg. mountainous areas), but there are also questions about whether people living that remotely even want broadband or wireless.

[–] deleted 3 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (1 children)

Do you think xfinity grade router would do 5km?

Also, serving a community of 2k people as far as 1000 km might cost hundreds of millions. So I don’t believe the 2k community would be happy to pay $5k each monthly to make it profitable for the ISP.

Look up LMG when linus wanted to connect two warehouses that are meters apart with entry level networking solution.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (2 children)

First, no one is talking about standard home-grade routers, though there is technology to make those work at longer distances. We're talking about say a cellular network, which is considered broadband in most of the US and has an existing infrastructure. Many of these areas are already going to have cellular access, and upgrades to existing networks are significantly cheaper and easier to maintain. There are long-range wifi solutions, and those work too, but most require line-of-sight, so as i stated, aren't suited for say mountanous area.

Name one community that is stretched out over 1000k. That's not community, that's a fucking state or territory. Seriously, that's more than 10x the width or height of Rhode Island.

Again, as I said, it's questionable whether those people even want high-speed internet in the first place. You're probably not living remotely to be on-the-grid.

Governments generally fund the buildout for this, so it's rarely on citizens anyway.

The LMG video is irrelevant. Linus is far from an expert.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 1 year ago (1 children)

In on starlink because it's now the only half decent option. There is a fairly strong 4g tower reception but it's underprovisioned and gives less than 3mbps downloads. 25 up though. We did have ADSL for a long time but they've shut that network down.

I'm on a farm 15km from town in hilly terrain.

[–] virr 1 points 1 year ago (1 children)

And the country should fix this just like during electrification and running phone lines to everywhere.

In the US we paid for internet to be run everywhere (like we did for electricity and phone lines), then the phone companies just didn't do it. Neither congress nor FTC followed through with any consequences for companies not doing this. So here we are in the US.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 year ago

It's arguably less environmentally damaging to use starlink rather than to run a fixed fibre line to each rural property.

[–] deleted 3 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Sorry English isn’t my first language so I meant 1000 km far from networking infrastructure. Not stretched out over 1000 km.

Linus isn’t professional. I just want you to have an idea of the cost. Specifically the fiber optic cables.

That doesn’t include maintenance, professional installation, and hardware to distribute the connection to multiple users / houses.

Even wireless solutions would not make it viable. I am not an expert but I would assume you need 100 towers for 1000 km (a tower for each 10 km) to relay data to keep speed and stable connection in check.

The average cost of a barebone cellular tower in USA is $250k without networking hardware. This would result in $25,000,000 just for towers.

If each person in the town of 1000 subscribed and paid $100 monthly it’d be $100k a month which I don’t think would cover the operation expenses of the service.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 1 year ago (1 children)

I understand a lot more about this than you’re assuming.

I’ve seen this Linus video, plus I’ve seen projects like these work and have a good grasp on the cost. The Linus video can’t explain any of that, And he’s pretty clueless in general.

There’s a reason google and other companies use wireless and cell for this exact reason. Building ands maintenance is cheaper than satellites.

Your estimates assume totally new infrastructure, but that’s not the case for most rural communities. They have existing infrastructure that can be upgraded. You’re also wrongly assuming they’re going to put up towers across this distance. They would only put them where needed.

More importantly this is in comparison to satellites, which are even more expensive and this particular low orbit has a short lifespan.

It’s not a solution for the cabin in the top of Mount Everest or the middle of the ocean, but as i said in my original reply they are best for the vast majority of people.

There is a need for satellite communication comms, but we have it already today. I’m just not convinced this particular project is worth the cost.

Again most importantly, there’s not a ton of evidence that people living in remote areas want broadband.

[–] deleted 1 points 1 year ago

Totally agree.

They must have cellular coverage to begin with so they don’t probably need towers.

[–] Telodzrum 10 points 1 year ago (1 children)

It will never be commercially viable to run a cable into the extreme rural reaches of North America. People just don’t understand the scale of the expanse.

[–] virr 7 points 1 year ago

Neither was running phone lines or electricity in the rural US, but we did it anyway because it was better for the country.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago)

Building rural infrastructure is incredibly expensive. I grew up about 25 miles from the nearest city, and to this day there are still no cell towers or broadband in the area. Just dial up internet that maxes out at 28.8 baud running over copper twisted pair. It's frankly archaic.

My parents inquired with the local telco, and for 7 miles of fiber I believe they wanted to charge somewhere around $13 million for their rural neighborhood - just for the trenching. For like 20 farms.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (1 children)

I agree for some definitions of rural, but I don't know if you have an idea on just how remote rural can mean. Try looking around northern Ontario in Google maps if you've never done it before. It's fascinating. So many tiny towns that are only reachable by boat or plane. They're not islands, but they might as well be, with how isolated they are.

But even for towns that aren't nearly so remote, no company is going to lay down quality infrastructure to accommodate every random farm that is spread several dozens of kilometers away from the nearest city. Even without capitalism, it's an expensive use of resources to connect isolated areas.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Satellite internet has existed for some time now for those areas. I wonder if star link is really worse than those alternatives, or if people just love to hate Musk.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago)

The previous satellite internet was more expensive, had much higher ping times and lower transfer Speeds because the satellites where fewer and further away from earth. This mean more people had to share a lower bandwidth. You could use email and some text heavy websites, but bloated news sites with Autoplay ads, video calls or online games not so much...

[–] AtHeartEngineer 4 points 1 year ago

I lived in a semi-rural area that had fiber access 1 mile away on the same road and they refused to run it unless i paid them $20k. The area was separated by a railroad track, which required permits and they didn't want to deal with it.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Money is no object? Sure. Running fiber to every cabin in the woods though? That's going to run up a cost...

[–] virr 6 points 1 year ago

Yes it will. Just like doing the exact same thing for power and phone lines to every single place in the entire US ran prices up. Difference is we paid for it and enforced companies do to it. For internet access we just paid for it and then never made them provide the internet access to everyone everywhere.

[–] [email protected] 14 points 1 year ago (1 children)

As much as this is true, this is also a solution that's doesn't have a lot of alternatives for very isolated areas. You can technically run undersea cables to everywhere, but it's actually faster and easier to have LEO satellites serve places like Antarctica. Some smaller island nations, the middle of Africa, etc.

There are problems with every solution, but this was always an inevitable solution for worldwide communication.

[–] echo64 -4 points 1 year ago (3 children)

We've had communications satellites for this function for decades without needing starlink and blotting out the sky with garbage

[–] [email protected] 17 points 1 year ago

Yeah and they suck with 500kbps links and ping times measured in seconds.

[–] shalafi 11 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Geosynchronous sats are just fine! Only 22,236 miles high vs. Starlink's 342 miles.

Want me to do the math on speed-of-light delay? .119 seconds is hella slower than .002.

[–] [email protected] 7 points 1 year ago

Yup, that's why the Antarctic Event Horizon telescope needed to wait 6 months to send its data back...

There is a reason that StarLink is better than the previous options.

[–] [email protected] 11 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (1 children)

I wouldn't say I'm underserved (I live in a tech hub). Overcharged? Definitely.

Rural folks do have a hard time without satellite though, and one thing a lot of Europeans do not viscerally realize about the States is how big the country is, and how much empty space there is.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 1 year ago

Even as someone living on the east coast of the US, I'm always surprised when I visit the Midwest and Central US to see just how much "nothing" there is. At least compared to the relative density of driving up and down the northeast corridor

[–] [email protected] 7 points 1 year ago

I kinda wish the Capitalism dev team would patch out the ExternalitiesAreHardToTrack cheat code. It's been abused for centuries and yeah, it's hard to fix, but there are quite a lot of upvotes on its bug tracker, and only a few billionaire downvotes.