this post was submitted on 30 Dec 2024
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Huh, that's a fun thought. If the bird flu turns into a pandemic (there's a prediction market that gives 16% for it, which is pants-shittingly terrifyingly high), we'll get to see how the Trump administration deals with one. And that... can go various ways.
On one hand, there's tons of anti-vaxxers in the Trump voting base and presumably this will affect the government, which is concerning. But on the other hand, one of the biggest problems in the COVID handling was when FDA stopped people from using already-created vaccines for idiotic bureaucracy considerations while people were literally dying by the million. That's the sort of thing that could go a lot better with just one presidential decision speeding it up, and there's a bunch of new people with power in the government now, like Elon Musk. Muskrat is a horrible person and kind of insane in some ways, but not stupid and I think he'd notice and act upon an opportunity like that. So I'm not totally pessimistic about how a new pandemic would go, either.