this post was submitted on 22 Oct 2024
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[–] baronvonj 13 points 3 weeks ago (2 children)

I have a tough time imagining left-leaning voters would vote for Allred and not Harris, so that would require right-leaning voters casting votes for Trump but not Cruz. And I can't envision that being a common enough scenario to split the state-wide vote like that.

[–] dhork 12 points 3 weeks ago (2 children)

Do not underestimate how much some people (even in Texas) hate Ted Cruz. I can totally see a ticket split there.

I mean, if Beto "Psychedelic Warlord" O'Rourke can almost win there after threatening to grab everyone's guns, then there must be a lot of people looking for any alternative to Cruz.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 3 weeks ago

Except Beto never mentioned the gun buyback program or AR-15s or anything about guns until 2019 - the year AFTER he lost to Cruz.

[–] baronvonj 2 points 3 weeks ago

I am in Texas, and I do hate Ted Cruz. But in 2020 we saw Trump underperform down-ballot races. We would have to see him outperform them this year and we now have the fallout from Dobbs motivating voters in favor of Harris. What issues would make someone vote for Trump and not Cruz?

[–] TipRing 5 points 3 weeks ago (2 children)

A lot of Trump voters vote for Trump and then leave the rest of the ballot blank. My ballot was 74 pages and Texas eliminated party line voting.

[–] Sconrad122 5 points 3 weeks ago

... Your ballot was 74 pages? How? My city makes a big deal when we have to use the back of the 1 sheet of 11x18 paper. Granted we have off year elections in our state, so things are a little more divided, but that's a long way from a 74 page short story of a ballot

[–] baronvonj 1 points 3 weeks ago

But Trump underperformed down-ballot in 2020. People showed up to vote for all the other Republicans but then not for him.