this post was submitted on 13 Jul 2024
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People aren't seeing this for the real precursor it is. People are getting emboldened now. There will be more events like this.
I'm honestly worried about tonight. Saturday night, plenty of places where people gather, and a lot of extremists are just waiting for a moment for escalation that they can exploit.
Attempting to take the life of the party leader during an election is going to push some people over the edge.
I honestly give it a 50% chance that there's some sort of mass casualty event in the next 12 hours related to this. I fucking hope I'm wrong, or that the odds are somehow in our favor, but I've run out of optimism.
It will be more than 12 hours before it happens. But that's small consolation. Once political violence is in the mix it can very quickly spiral out of control