I am not convinced Trump will be on the Georgia ballot even if he doesn't get any other penalty in the trial.
this post was submitted on 16 Jan 2024
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True, but that shouldn't make anyone feel better. Biden still has to make his case to voters, Trump or no Trump. We should not assume that Biden has any easier time if Trump is disqualified. If anything, it might be more difficult, particularly if Trump is thrown off some ballots and not others. That would mean Biden would have to run against multiple candidates, but still need a majority of EC votes to secure the election.
Republicans can effectively win without a majority of EC votes, because then the election goes to the State delegations in Congress, where Republicans have the advantage.
Trump won't be on the primary ballot in Nevada for sure. Nevada GOP decided to just give it to him.
It's pie in the sky to have polls this early, and even if it wasn't wildly premature to look at polls, they aren't great at actually predicting the outcome, because the people who conduct polls have a tendency towards polling people and areas that'll tell them what they want to hear...
It's also a live telephone poll. This type of pole has a lot of trouble getting a representative sample of people under the age of 40.
I believe Romney was "beating" Obama at this point in their election race.
Democrats have beat polls by 9+ points at ballot boxes since Roe v. Wade was overturned.
If Dems keep campaigning on how Republicans are actively trying to remove people's bodily autonomy, restrict people's right to exist, and set up a State Religion, they should be able to overcome voter apathy.
they should be able to overcome voter apathy.
You severely underestimate the power of apathy.
It's what keeps me from sliding into it myself.