this post was submitted on 12 Mar 2024
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[–] [email protected] 29 points 9 months ago (2 children)

Hasn't the failed war on drugs shown the narrative that drugs cause the homelessness and crime and are not just another symptom of the underlying problems is a lie?

Guess not to the general public.

[–] Ghostalmedia 6 points 9 months ago (1 children)

If the more progressive policies are helping, that impact is getting drowned out by other factors pushing parts of town in the other direction.

As someone who lives in the SF / Oakland area, I can attest to people constantly talking about drugs, crime and homelessness going in the wrong direction. People bring it up without being prompted.

My theory is that more progressive addiction policies work, but that’s just one variable. And there are other things impacting day to day vibe in the city that are overshadowing the stuff that’s working.

When people go to the ballot box, nuance often goes out the door. When things aren’t great, they vote for whatever is different.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 9 months ago (1 children)

Of course they're going to talk about crime, what else are they going to talk about, the weather that never changes?

In all seriousness though I do think it's the lack of other issues that's driving this. Most other issues liberals care about have come to a secure consensus in the city, abortion and LGBT rights are as secure as they can get, marijuana and even mushrooms are basically legal, the last gun store has closed, the city has a good recycling and composting system and a green energy option, the parks and schools get decent funding etc. The only thing left is affordable housing and crime. Since the minutia of housing policy is boring that just leaves crime for the media and people to talk about, so even if crime itself is stable or even declining, people's awareness of it increases.

You can see this during the pandemic where homelesness and crime were just as bad if not worse, but people were focusing on other things.

The lack of other issues also demobilizes the average liberal voter who already has everything they want and doesn't see a need to vote, so the election becomes dominated by people who care about that one remaining issue.

[–] Ghostalmedia 2 points 9 months ago (1 children)

If you look at something like car break ins in SF, the data did show that it dropped a ton during the pandemic, then rebounded to the 2019 craziness.

It wasn’t something that was in people’s heads. The SF Chronicle has been pretty good about charting this stuff, and if you search for things like car break in graphs, Google images will get ya past some paywalls.

IMHO, those of us who have been living in the area for decades have some legitimate observations and experiences that are supported by data. I’m not saying the solution has to be super conservative policies. I’m just saying that the problems are real.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 9 months ago (1 children)

Car break ins did go up during/after the pandemic, just as crime went up across the entire country, but that early 20s crime wave seems to be subsiding. This election took place in a context where car break ins are declining and crime in general is decreasing. If these propositions were truly a reaction to real crime then they would have happened in 2022 when crime was peaking and looked like it was going up.

I'm not saying the problem isn't real, there is crime. But I don't think the idea it's getting worse is true. I've only been here for 5 years but my understanding is that SF, like most cities, was far worse in the 80s and 90s . Maybe there was some golden era in the 2000s , early 2010s where it was slightly better but just comparing to what I've seen since I've been here I haven't noticed any changes that warrant this recent tough in crime bend that local politics is going.

[–] Ghostalmedia 2 points 9 months ago

Here is the broader data set going back to 2009. I wish it went back further do capture life before the great recession. Cutting things off at 2018 doesn't really tell the full story and doesn't really show you why people who've been here for 10, 20, 30+ years are unhappy.

Visualization: https://www.sfchronicle.com/crime/article/sf-car-break-in-data-18639763.php Source: https://datasf.org/opendata/

The concern is the post pandemic uptick it was the overall trend going back a decade. Things have gotten a LOT better over the past 6 months. Whether that's because of the aggressive 2023 crack down efforts, or because of something else, I don't know. All I know if that people in the region are not reacting to the past couple years, they're reacting to the past decade or more.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 9 months ago (4 children)

Whether they are a cause or symptom, people shooting up in the streets and leaving needles everywhere is unacceptable.

[–] Augustiner 25 points 9 months ago (2 children)

They wouldn’t have to shoot up in the streets if SF still had the safe injection sites up. People who shoot up in the streets do so mostly because they want to get found if they OD.

Making it illegal to be high won’t make addicts want to stop getting high, it will just push them into dark corners where they die when they OD. Imo that’s way more unacceptable.

[–] [email protected] 14 points 9 months ago (1 children)

If you don't want people injecting in the streets then kicking drug addicts out of shelters and taking away their rent subsidies seems pretty counterintuitive.

[–] Cryophilia 3 points 9 months ago (1 children)

The ordinance specifically does not have a sobriety requirement for continued shelter and assistance. It just requires treatment. Even if you're still using, you don't lose assistance. You just also need drug treatment.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 9 months ago (2 children)

I know, but there are going to be some people who refuse treatment and are forced out of there living situations and onto the streets, thus exasperating the problem the guy above mentioned.

I'm just saying If your main concern is seeing people doing drugs on the street your main priority should be giving them somewhere else to do them, either a safe injection site or shelter, and anything getting in the way of that is counterproductive. You can try and get them off drugs but coercing people into treatment like this rarely works.

[–] evergreen 2 points 9 months ago (1 children)

Where do they end up in that system? Is the idea to just keep them safely on drugs for the rest of their lives since treatment rarely works? Safely locked away in a shelter, dependent on opiates?

[–] [email protected] 2 points 9 months ago (1 children)

Hopefully one day they seek treatment, and any system should make that option as open as possible at any point, because treatment can work if the person is truly committed to it. It almost never works when you coerce someone into it though, especially if whatever's forcing you into it is as alienated from you as the city government. Maybe if the addict truly loved a person or group of people could an ultimatum like it's me or the drugs work, and even that fails sometimes. But the city government, a government that you may blame for the shitty circumstances your in, telling you that is more likely to turn someone away in spite then awaken some actual desire in a person to seek sobriety.

[–] evergreen 0 points 9 months ago (1 children)

So it sounds like that's a yes then. Keep them on drugs and just hope. Hope that they change, all while their minds and bodies are actively being destroyed and whittled down by the drugs, and the Honduran gangs in SF gain money and power... This just doesn't seem to be sustainable. There is a seemingly endless supply of people coming here from all over the country who are addicted to this stuff, and it really fees like it's turning parts of the city into a zombie land. Many people in this city, especially those that live and work in these areas are just fed up. And the votes reflect that.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 9 months ago

I'm not saying it sustainable or good, just that these propositions are short sighted and not the way to do it, and most addiction specialists would agree. Fixing this problem doesn't require more law and order and discipline which we've been doing to no effect, but to solve the underlying socioeconomic issues causing addiction. No one is going to quit drugs if it's the one thing making their life on the streets bearable. To get people to quit, or even not abuse drugs in the first place, they need a stable living situation, a purpose and a regular job and a support structure, these propositions provide none of that. Turning people away from the welfare programs that can provide these will only push them deeper into addiction.

[–] Cryophilia 1 points 9 months ago

I agree about safe injection sites, but the feds won't allow it. SF and Philly both tried but got shut down.

[–] ickplant 12 points 9 months ago (1 children)

So create safe injection sites then.

[–] Cryophilia 0 points 9 months ago

SF tried. So did Philly. Feds shut em down.

[–] [email protected] 11 points 9 months ago

All of history has shown that getting tough by criminalizing drug use doesn't solve the problem.