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I'm in for the stress and anxiety, but really there are so many Republicans who say out loud thay they disapprove of Trump and won't vote for him. They might vote for Biden if there are no alternatives, or they might stay home and also not vote for downticket Republicans. Haley as an independent might hurt Democrats as much as it hurts Trump.
I also don't think Haley wants to separate from the party. I think shewants to be seen as the person who took the party back from Trump.
Isn't she basically all of Trump's reprehensible beliefs in a less offensive package? I can't believe she would take as many votes from Biden as she would from Trump!
Well that's exactly what I mean, she's a terrible person and kind of an idiot. But people are voting for her because she's not Trump, and that's Biden's campaign slogan.
The people voting for her now who would switch over the Trump wouldn't vote for her as a third party candidate. That's because, while they know Trump is a rapist grifter who attempted a fascist overthrow off the government, they want it to appear like they don't approve of that. Opposing Trump is performative morality that will wash away when it comes time to get a fascist elected.
The people who are voting for her now who would switch over to Biden absolutely would vote for her as a third party candidate. That's because they have drawn a line in the sand somewhere, and absolutely cannot vote for a [rapist|criminal|spray-tanner|drug addict|fraudster|man in the advanced stages of dementia|insurrectionist|terrorist] and would rather vote for anyone else. BUT that doesn't mean they want libruls to win and start in with women's rights or trans rights or immigrants' rights or any of that progressive bullshit that Biden hasn't promised anyway. They will cast a protest vote for a third party candidate to show everyone that they are still conservative shitbags, but they aren't MAGA. It's still performative morality, but they are just more committed to the role.
Biden is better off if the GOP is a divided shitshow right up until the election, and then Haley is forced to kneel down and kiss the ring. Her followers won't like it, and might just stay home.
If we are doomed to slide into Fascism in 2024, I hope it's her, because that means Trump will have to eat shit. That would be my silver lining.
She would take a lot of the Trump=toxic republican/leaning republican votes. They would either vote 3rd party, leave president blank, or hold their nose and vote Biden but would instead be voting for the republican candidate.
Those people are the reason for the "I'm not Trump" campaign from Biden. Why remind them that the Democrats wants to gasp help the poor
Campaigns can be persuasive. Biden and his surrogates could be out there making the case that helping the poor is the right thing to do. He could be educating people on the practical benefits of social safety nets, promoting ideologies based on empathy and economics.
But to do that, he would have to believe it. I don't think Biden wants to help the poor. He will be attacked for it, anyway, and that's part of what makes his a bad politician. He's going to be criticized from both sides and accomplish nothing.