this post was submitted on 27 Jan 2024
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politics

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[–] [email protected] 60 points 10 months ago (3 children)

If I had to wager, her plan may be to stay in to the end despite losing every primary, just in case something goes south for Trump legally. Trouble is, he's going to savage her politically and many of his supporters will never vote for her

[–] FlyingSquid 20 points 10 months ago (1 children)

Trouble is, he’s going to savage her politically and many of his supporters will never vote for her

Sure. On the other hand...

https://www.miamiherald.com/news/politics-government/article284562880.html

[–] [email protected] 24 points 10 months ago (3 children)

“The worst kept secret in politics is how badly the Democrats want to run against Donald Trump,” Haley said. “A Trump nomination is a Biden win and a Kamala Harris presidency … I defeat Biden handily.”

Yeah this is my understanding.

I don't really understand it (despite everyone explaining it n times) but if the GOP want to win all they need to do is field a young candidate.

[–] mriguy 22 points 10 months ago (2 children)

So it all comes down to “do Republicans want to win badly enough that they can suppress their racism and misogyny and vote for a woman of color”. Republicans like winning, but NEVER bet against racism and misogyny with that crew.

Also, a large fraction of the base WILL vote for Trump, and only Trump, whether he’s on the ballot or not, which hurts Haley. And there’s no evidence that the R’s have won over a single new voter since 2020, when they lost.

This all turns on how badly Biden does with HIS base, and that is currently pretty worrying. Democratic voters like unproductive petulance at least as much as Republican voters like racism and misogyny.

[–] [email protected] 20 points 10 months ago (2 children)

Biden definitely hasn't been unproductive. He just hasn't been loud enough about his accomplishments.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 9 months ago

Biden's exceeded my expectations... it's just no one knows him as anything other than "The guy who sniffs hair"

[–] [email protected] 8 points 10 months ago

I think she's wrong though. If she were to win, Trump would run an an independent and split the wingnut vote.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 9 months ago

Hell, it's likely she'll pull votes from the Left who just wanna see a woman president, Identity Politics isn't just a word ya know

[–] [email protected] 8 points 10 months ago* (last edited 10 months ago)

Shes got the Koch billion dollar donation network behind her. I think her plan is to make as much of their money as possible, which they are glad to give to have a possible president directly in their pocket.