this post was submitted on 30 Jun 2023
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Fidelity has further slashed the estimated worth of its holdings in Reddit and Discord as well as SaaS startup Gupshup.

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[–] Buffalox 125 points 2 years ago (9 children)

I read before all this started reddit was valued around $10 billion.

Now it's already down to $5.5 billion.

These are estimates, since reddit hasn't gone public yet, there is no official market value.

Still I'm guessing that next week it will be valued even lower. Tomorrow is when the real shit hits the fan.

[–] CavalierAlbatross 55 points 2 years ago (8 children)

I wish more people weren't waiting until June 30 to tentatively make a decision or leave. I have a feeling many of them aren't leaving if they haven't already.

[–] [email protected] 23 points 2 years ago (1 children)

I made my decision to leave as soon as I saw how the app devs were treated. Been back only to edit all my comments to state what I think about spez & co. I’ve simply been waiting to add my little weight to the end of month exodus.

[–] Naja_Kaouthia 1 points 2 years ago

I did as well. Just went ahead and ripped the bandaid off, scrubbed my posts from Reddit and deleted my account. No going back.

[–] Buffalox 8 points 2 years ago

IDK but we are close to finding out. In my experience people are generally bad at preparing. And only react when absolutely necessary.

[–] Haha 7 points 2 years ago (1 children)

I decided to leave when I saw how they removed entire moderator from subreddits. Abhorrent behaviour and completely unhinged. I was modding at r/steam for 7 years. Is this how you treat dedicated people to your platform? This shattered the relationship between users and Reddit admins to me. I only removed my account yesterday until they finally hit nail in the coffin with going forward to kill off third parties. I never really used Apollo TBH, but it’s the intent behind what they do that matters to me. Haha.

[–] hup 3 points 2 years ago

Sames, I was a mod for years of a super niche game community that died off with the sands of time. I was fully acclimated to the new reddit site and app by sometime last year, but watching reddit this past month has been like watching someone methodically and deliberately cannibalize their own limbs.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 2 years ago

I wish I had had the time to fully switch sooner. But my life has been nuts, so I'm now scrambling between calls to get into the swing here.

Which is all just to say, some folks live crazy busy lives and can't switch as soon as others.

But also when I was initially going to switch, I was reading that kbin and Lemmy were getting overwhelming traffic, so I wanted to wait for that wave to calm down and ensure the hosts were able to keep up/recover

[–] sethal 4 points 2 years ago (1 children)

I was one of those people; the man reason being the lack of the less popular subreddits (magazines/communities?) on here. Some of my most visited spots on Reddit just don’t exist here. If I’m being honest, I don’t wanna make and mod them either. I’d partake in them, but running one isn’t in the cards. I just don’t have the time. I think those less popular subreddits are the ones that will hurt the most leaving behind.

[–] tobor 5 points 2 years ago

we'll get there, it'll take time, but even in the 2 weeks that I've been bouncing around the fediverse, it's already gotten more interesting.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 2 years ago

I deleted my reddit account after about ten years due to the recent scandals. I think many others did so, too. Reddit is worthless already.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 2 years ago

Why would we expect people to leave? Look at how many people stayed on Twitter and are still there. People can get used to a lot of bad stuff in exchange for doom-scrolling dopamine.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 2 years ago

I wonder if there are a lot of people, average users, that just aren’t in the know, and will only realize the third party apps are gone when they’re physically gone.

[–] linearchaos 28 points 2 years ago (1 children)

5.5 billion ... BILLION that's with a B

Moderators are volunteers

Content is subject to right be forgotten

Management is mostly hostile and toxic

Management is driving away the content creators.

If they decapitated the management (not literally...well...no this is not constructive) and made the API cheap as balls, you might retain the existing users and pull half that are leaving back.

There's not 5B in advertising opportunity there. Any company that wanted to get out in front of their customers is already in there talking to them for free.

[–] Haha 1 points 2 years ago

They wanted to put me behind a paywall, I wouldn’t have mind to be treated like a cheap hoe. Why you valuing me at 10b, baby, I just wanna be rent free…

[–] Possible_EmuWrangler 9 points 2 years ago (1 children)

"Tomorrow is when the real shit hits the fan." I don't know about that. I think it'll take a while and there will be several stages. Tomorrow the power users leave, and moderators might either do a lot less or disappear completely.

Then would be a rise in bots (i saw an AITA post i thought might be bot generated as i couldnt possibly think how "OP" could be anything but an asshole) and spammers, people voting might help keep some of that at bay while the users who browse by hot might still get what they want. Then there would likely be migrations of users.

I think people who go to subs like funny and AITA could still be there for a while, but i think the content will degrade and some subs i think have taken permanent hits in viewership. 4 months ago i could think of some where i'd consider advertising a product to a niche, but there's zero chance i'd be parting with money today.

I think the effects of this will be large and far reaching, but those looking to cash out are still steaming ahead for their IPO payday, and whatever happens from there will be the new owners concern. It'd be different if i thought they wanted to IPO and still hold a large share of the company, but everything im seeing leads me to believe thats not the case.

[–] Buffalox 12 points 2 years ago* (last edited 2 years ago)

Tomorrow the power users leave

Today the app users are forced away.

We can already see lemmy.world has grown 15% or 8k users in half a day. If that's representative, the coming days will be worse for reddit than the blackout and protest period.

That was what I meant, that for reddit the shit hits the fan today for real, as in the consequences of their decision will hit harder when they are actually implemented.

[–] belungar 7 points 2 years ago

Kylo Ren: MOAR

[–] kultsinuppeli 6 points 2 years ago (1 children)

Well, that's a bit misleading. It was $10 billion in August 21. But all of the startup type tech companies have taken huge dives after that.

So the actual impact of the protests are yet to be seen. E.g. the value of Discord shrank even more than reddit.

[–] Buffalox 3 points 2 years ago

I'm pretty sure I saw it valued at 10 bil 14 days ago.

Tech has gone down, then up again, since august, for instance alphabet is higher now than back in August.

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/GOOG/

[–] [email protected] 4 points 2 years ago (1 children)

I would have thought that most people who didn't want to use Reddit anymore have probably already stopped using it.

But yes I hope to see more bad news for Reddit such as this diminished valuation.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 2 years ago

I’m not expecting people to leave in droves, but I imagine that as the quality of content, moderation, and overall tone declines a lot of people will gradually lose interest and stop visiting.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 2 years ago

Oh I am SOOO looking forward to that shitshow 😂

[–] Haha 3 points 2 years ago

Dude really could have done this right and not essentially tell us in the “leak” that “oh we’re not losing money so it’s fine” - what a complete tool. I learned he doesn’t give a shit about us. Haha.

[–] CurlyMoustache 2 points 2 years ago

Here's to hoping Musky boy buys it!