this post was submitted on 28 Dec 2023
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[–] YoBuckStopsHere 59 points 11 months ago (1 children)

Lincoln would be a Democrat as would Theodore Roosevelt. Both were Progressives in their time.

The future of the Republican Party is either a huge shift to the left, like all the way to the left or to disappear and be replaced by another Progressive Party. Democrats would stay where they are and be the Center Right Party.

[–] PugJesus 46 points 11 months ago (2 children)

No way in hell that the GOP shifts to the left at this point. I hope you're right about a progressive party emerging someday, but I have my doubts.

[–] [email protected] 7 points 11 months ago

They aren’t saying that current members become liberal. Eventually the radicals will move elsewhere and the remaining GOP will go closer to where they were 40 years ago.

[–] YoBuckStopsHere 7 points 11 months ago (4 children)

Political parties are not static. When Trump falls the Republican brand dies. They will reinvent themselves as a left wing party to regain the power they lost. It won't look anything like it does now by 2030.

[–] IchNichtenLichten 22 points 11 months ago (1 children)

I'll take any odds you're offering.

They've spent the last 40 years veering further and further right, consolidating their base of bigots whilst alienating everyone else.

Even if there was a will to pivot left (which there isn't), an entire party doesn't become everything it hates in 6 years.

[–] No_Ones_Slick_Like_Gaston 6 points 11 months ago (2 children)

Thank you fellow time traveler!!

Any tips to avoid the temporal jail? Or you just were an early adopter?

[–] Ensign_Crab 4 points 11 months ago

Any tips to avoid the temporal jail?

Don't go to Hawking's party. It's a sting operation.

[–] YoBuckStopsHere 1 points 11 months ago

It's a common trend in Political Science, adapt or die.

[–] Thrashy 3 points 11 months ago* (last edited 11 months ago)

The party tried to move towards the center after Romney lost in 2012, but instead the alt-right seized control, pushed it even further toward the extreme right, and in the process put Trump in power for four years. The lesson the GOP's current leadership learned from that was to always double down, no matter what.

If Trump loses in 2024, I would put my money on the party falling into the clutches of out-and-proud white supremacists, collapsing from internal conflict between its various factions, or (probably) both.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 11 months ago

At this point, I think it's more likely that they'll dissolve and be replaced than them actually moving left