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what part of you treating it like a death knell is going to accomplish anything? What are you doing other than just waiting hoping conservatives learn their lesson this time? Please stop looking to conservatives to fix anything, to amend their ways. No matter the scandal, expect conservative voters to still rally behind their reps to oppose progress. If Trump went into an elementary school and started gunning down kids, expect conservatives to take it as the beginning of their uprising against education and follow suit.
Oh that isn't what I mean. I don't expect conservatives to change one bit. By death knell, I mean the end of Republican party in national relevance. Their views are quickly becoming so unpopular that even gerrymandering can't save them.
I think for instance if they lose in 2024, the GOP might collapse and fracture. What would come next however, I don't know. But we'd be rid of fascists and bigots with any real power, hopefully.
My hope (and I don't think it's unfounded) is that the democratic party splits in half. The neoliberals take the democratic party name and moderate/conservative position and a new progressive party is created to their left.
This is my thinking as well actually. It should be put off as long as possible to make sure they don't spoil each other in elections (until we get ranked choice anyway). But in the long term, I absolutely see Democrats absorbing those closer to the center and becoming a centrist/conservative party for economics, and progressives splitting off to make a progressive party, which would have enormous gains in popularity.
They'd all be socially liberal though. You'd still have a Trump party, but they'd be uninteresting and unimportant dregs, who are the home for social conservatives. They'll be who we look at to remind ourselves our opponent could always be worse.