this post was submitted on 19 Feb 2025
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Odds of asteroid YR4 hitting Earth just went up again, reaching new high (globalnews.ca)
submitted 3 days ago by [email protected] to c/space
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[โ€“] [email protected] 8 points 1 day ago (1 children)

This is the expected path the probability is going to take. Scott Manley made a great video on that.

Basically the area in which the asteroid is going to be includes the earth. When you shrink this area earth is going to take up more space, unless it left the cone. I.e. measurements increase the likelihood until they don't.

[โ€“] [email protected] 1 points 1 day ago (1 children)

Scott Manley... Now that's a name I haven't heard in a long time