this post was submitted on 08 Nov 2024
-30 points (30.3% liked)

Political Memes

5601 readers
2948 users here now

Welcome to politcal memes!

These are our rules:

Be civilJokes are okay, but don’t intentionally harass or disturb any member of our community. Sexism, racism and bigotry are not allowed. Good faith argumentation only. No posts discouraging people to vote or shaming people for voting.

No misinformationDon’t post any intentional misinformation. When asked by mods, provide sources for any claims you make.

Posts should be memesRandom pictures do not qualify as memes. Relevance to politics is required.

No bots, spam or self-promotionFollow instance rules, ask for your bot to be allowed on this community.

founded 2 years ago
MODERATORS
 
you are viewing a single comment's thread
view the rest of the comments
[–] trek32 1 points 1 month ago (1 children)

My data is from AP https://apnews.com/article/trump-harris-gender-gap-votecast-05672b6426cb5965c446ae2871d97eaf

I have no idea what you mean by "20% swing in gender." There's an 8% gap between men and women supporting Trump, and the AP said: "the gender voting gap was unremarkable by recent historical standards."

Also, AP reported that Biden had 55% of the women vote, meaning that the gender gap today is narrower than the 2020 election.

"Harris had the advantage among women, winning 53% to Trump’s 46%, but that margin was somewhat narrower than President Joe Biden’s in 2020, according to the survey. In 2020, VoteCast showed Biden won 55% of women"

[–] disguy_ovahea -1 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (3 children)

The swing is determined by adding the difference from both sexes.

55-42=13% more men voted for Trump than Harris

53-45=8% more women voted for Harris than Trump

13+8=21% swing from men to women

[–] Enkers@sh.itjust.works 2 points 1 month ago (1 children)

Just to explain why people are confused:

If it were 100% of men voting Trump, and 100% of women voting Harris, your math would give a 200% swing, so you're essentially double counting. Divide by 2 to get the actual swing %.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Swing_(politics)

[–] disguy_ovahea 2 points 1 month ago

You’re right. My mistake. Thanks for the link!