this post was submitted on 28 Oct 2024
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[–] [email protected] 11 points 1 month ago (1 children)

Maybe not about having congresspeople objecting. They're going to try and engineer an electoral college 269-269 tie.

It's a fucking longshot, and if they still think it's a plan worth putting effort behind, that speaks to what they think their chances of winning above board are.

[–] dhork 10 points 1 month ago (1 children)

I mean, they can't really engineer a tie. If the vote ends up that way that's one thing, but if they have found a way to manipulate votes why not go for the win?

They could lean on certain states to change their certification, but that didn't work in 2020, there's no reason to assume it would work now. These battleground states have had a lot of attention put on them, their Governors and Secretaries of State aren't going to roll over like that.

No, I think the game they are playing is to purposefully sabotage the certification process at the local level so key Harris wins can be neutralized. If Harris wins GA or AZ, I am fully expecting the local election boards to do everything they can to stall the certification. They've basically been telegraphing that, so much so that there have been recent court rulings telling those local boards they can't do that.

[–] [email protected] 7 points 1 month ago (1 children)

That's fair, but I was catching this from the article:

Professor of law Melissa Murray, a constitutional law expert and co-host of the Strict Scrutiny podcast, appears to agree.

"So, the plan is to have an Electoral College tie (which will likely require contesting swing state vote counts)," she writes. "A tie in the Electoral College will then require a vote in the House of Representatives, where the GOP, led by Speaker Johnson, has a (thin) majority...."

[–] dhork 5 points 1 month ago

Yeah, I saw that in the article, and immediately dismissed it for all the reasons I already stated.

Plus, many of the more likely tie scenarios involve Nebraska, one of only two states which appoint EC votes based on congressional district. If Harris wins the lone vote for the district with Omaha in it, it makes it far less likely to end in a tie. Maybe That's what Trump is on about, then: more pressure on Nebraska to change its EC allocation process.