this post was submitted on 30 Sep 2024
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National polling has Kamala up by +6 at best. Seems like 44%+ of ~~Americans~~ those polled seem comfortable and supportive of Trump. The fact it is that close at a national level, with all Haitians eating cats rhetoric, still seems insane to an outsider.
Edit: Updated to appease those saying 44%+ of those polled who say they support Trump is not an accurate reflection of Americans at-large. For reference, Trump won 46.1% of the popular vote in 2016 and 46.8% of the popular vote in 2020.
It's not 44 percent of Americans. It's 44 percent of the people poled. I can guarantee that number is skewed because a ton of left leaning people wouldn't bother wasting their time not getting paid to answer some pole. I know my friends and I are in that boat.
It’s 44% of all those people polled who are registered voters.
It seems insane to us “insiders” too.
The point is, anything more than negligible is fucking nuts!
Even if it's 44% of just idiot luddite conservatives, that's still 44% of idiot luddite conservatives too many!
Wait until you find out that 30-40% of Americans believe god magicked the universe into being as is less than 10k years ago and fossils are from noahs flood in which he saved 2 of every animal in a boat the size of texas.
“poled” 😂😅
Don't pollsters account for this? There's a reason why polling still exists and is talked about, the final results do reflect reality to some degree.
Hilary was polling at roughly the same numbers as close as two weeks before that election he won back in 2016, if I remember correctly. It was looking like a clean sweep for her, and it was anything but. So don't get comfortable yet.
Yep, almost the exact same spread in the national polls, and still lost. Absolutely no comfort for me with numbers where they are.
Most polls are performed by calling landlines. The majority of people with landlines are elderly or own businesses.
There is no way the pollsters don't know this and account for it