this post was submitted on 24 Sep 2024
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A top economist has joined the growing list of China's elite to have disappeared from public life after criticizing Xi Jinping, according to The Wall Street Journal. 

Zhu Hengpeng served as deputy director of the Institute of Economics at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences (CASS) for around a decade.

CASS is a state research think tank that reports directly to China's cabinet. Chen Daoyin, a former associate professor at Shanghai University of Political Science and Law, described it as a "body to formulate party ideology to support the leadership."

According to the Journal, the 55-year-old disappeared shortly after remarking on China's sluggish economy and criticizing Xi's leadership in a private group on WeChat.

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[–] apfelwoiSchoppen 11 points 1 month ago (2 children)

What is this supposed to show?

[–] [email protected] 30 points 1 month ago (2 children)

This is what a healthy population looks like:

[–] [email protected] 58 points 1 month ago (3 children)

Even then, it isn't healthy, just healthier. The USA is still going to going to experience economic issues of a growing elderly population, it just won't be as bad.

[–] [email protected] 36 points 1 month ago (4 children)

The US have the benefit of essentially limitless immigration that they can adjust at will. On the other hand, China's leadership, being Han supremacist, is not receptive to immigration at all.

[–] [email protected] 9 points 1 month ago

Immigration definitely helps, especially compared to China. I'm just noting that there will still be some decrease in the ratio of retired workers to current workers.

[–] UnderpantsWeevil 5 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (2 children)

The US have the benefit of essentially limitless immigration

glances at US immigration policy

Does it?

China’s leadership, being Han supremacist, is not receptive to immigration at all.

Wit drier than a lint trap.

[–] [email protected] 6 points 1 month ago (1 children)

Coming from one of the foremost resident tankies here, that's a glowing compliment. Thank you.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 month ago (1 children)

Does it?

People still pay upwards of $10,000 US to get smuggled into the country that they will only work in for 4 years as basic farm and factory workers in a house of 20 people.

The world is a mess and America is the gold mines of california with no gold in it. But a lot of people are getting rich selling immigrants the shovels.

[–] UnderpantsWeevil -1 points 1 month ago (2 children)

People still pay upwards of $10,000 US to get smuggled into the country that they will only work in for 4 years as basic farm and factory workers in a house of 20 people.

You're just describing human trafficking. This is modern slavery. Might as well brag about all the Africans who moved here in the 18th and 19th centuries.

The world is a mess and America is the gold mines of california

Who can forget the huge influx of East Asian immigrants flooding into the California gold mines to be worked to death in the mines? Another excellent example of American prosperity.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 1 month ago

Oh it's awful but I'm saying people are paying the privilege to be treated like shit in the US cause it's "better" than their crumbling local country or beats the idea of their false impression of their crumbling country of origin.

I didn't brag about it. But the US sure does have this happening at a rate hard to be ignored.

I mean I literally used an example that is historically known to have been basically a scam to import cheap labor and you still got defensive and hostile.

Your need to be right will kill any conversation you are part of.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 month ago (1 children)

Also you are wrong about how the east asian populace in California was used, as it often wasn't about working the mines as much as them racking up a debt trying to get rich and then owing money so that they could be used as cheap labor elsewhere. God do you even actually have a point or is it just be angry at whatever people say?

[–] UnderpantsWeevil -2 points 1 month ago (1 children)

it often wasn’t about working the mines as much as them racking up a debt trying to get rich

That's debt peonage. And debt peonage is enforced through the violence of loan sharks, who serve the same function as overseers in a plantation system. African slaves were also roped into debt peonage as the first step in African export. You get told you owe X and have to work Y years to pay it off, then you get placed on a ship and sent halfway around the world to spend your most productive years working for someone else.

When you're exhausted, you're disposed of. There's never any real promise of "repaid debts". Its just a social convention used to gull people into working for free.

God do you even actually have a point

Yes. But the point offends you, so you're closing your ears to it.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 month ago

Make your point then and make it factual? Cause so far you have said America doesn't have immigration to fall back on which it does in spades even though I agree it looks like, and is in all practicality, slave labor.

Then said, incorrectly, Chinese immigrants worked in mines and used unrelated other slave labor immigration as whataboutisms.

The point was that America can sell the idea of itself to keep import of cheap labor high and you have wafted about without a point just yelling at people about all the things you think are wrong with the world and nitpicking, poorly, other people.

You don't stay on topic and you basically don't have a point other than be angry. If you have a point make it. If you want to be angry and rant then fine but be honest about it and just be angry and rant.

You get yelled at because you slip off topic to sputter out a "fact" that you think wins an argument while it being tangentially related and off topic. Your dog dying is not a good excuse for failing gym class. Yes it's sad. But it's not the point.

Take this as a learning moment from someone that agrees with you and won't back down at telling you, find a different way to talk to people.

This "holier than thou" shtick where you say random factoids as a way to feel superior in a conversation ain't doing you favors and isn't accomplishing anything other than stroking yourself out. And it's fine if you want to do that but do it in private. We don't need to see you jacking off your ego.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 1 month ago (3 children)

Have you.... have you seen how Americans have been talking about the border? Especially this election cycle? I don't know if would characterize either party's constituencies as "receptive".

[–] Zorque 18 points 1 month ago (1 children)

You realize there's more to immigration than the border between Mexico and the US, right?

I know they ignore it, but you don't have to follow along with them.

[–] NOT_RICK 9 points 1 month ago

50 million immigrants in the US, and that data is 5 years old. Germany comes in second with 13 million. It’s not even close. I don’t see how a demographic crisis could happen, even if they hypothetically cut immigration in half

[–] SlopppyEngineer 17 points 1 month ago

It's all talk. Corpos crave dirt cheap desperate immigrant workers and will make sure neither party messes this up.

[–] NOT_RICK 17 points 1 month ago (1 children)
[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 month ago (1 children)

The US have the benefit of essentially limitless immigration

Except that even in the Americas the population is declining. There is a limit to it. The US can outlast many other countries because of immigration but it too has to face the same problem as everyone else.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 1 month ago

Not really. They are the #1 immigration destination. If the US runs out of potential immigrants that means every other country is far worse off. This game is like the old joke about outrunning a bear: you don't need to run faster than the bear — you only need to be faster than the guy next to you.

[–] Shard 14 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (1 children)

This is the new normal for highly developed economies. The best they can hope for is a 1 to 1 replacement of their population. We're not likely to see another baby boom occur.

We're not going to see a typical population pyramid any more. Because that means a large infant death rate and either war, disasters or a massive suicide epidemic cutting away the young adult population to get the pyramid shape.

[–] [email protected] 8 points 1 month ago

Given that the amount of habitable land will decrease causing mass migrations, you don't need a 1 to 1 ratio to maintain a population size.

[–] UnderpantsWeevil -2 points 1 month ago (1 children)

it just won’t be as bad.

glances at Ferguson

glances at Columbia

glances at the NYC subway

How bad are we talking?

[–] NOT_RICK 12 points 1 month ago

I don’t see how any of that relates to a potential demographic crisis

[–] expatriado 8 points 1 month ago (1 children)
[–] [email protected] 20 points 1 month ago

Basically, yes. The sides are nearly parallel, which is great. Compare with China's, which forms a steep V. Once GenX hits retirement age they are completely screwed. The CCP's recent push for "traditional family values" and increased birth rates is no coincidence.

[–] Eheran 13 points 1 month ago (1 children)

The birthing rates are only dropping, in 15 years all of those people will be to old to work but there are not nearly enough to replace them.

[–] apfelwoiSchoppen 5 points 1 month ago

Thank you for the clarification.