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Seriously, what the f*** is keeping Donald Trump in this presidential race?
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this post was submitted on 12 Sep 2024
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Did everyone just collectively agree to forget 2016? The polls were all favoring Clinton by a dramatic margin. CNN famously had a headline where they predicted Clinton had a 99% chance to win off of the polls.
And what ended up happening? 538 (before bought and neutered by ABC) gave the odds 65-35 or so, in Clinton's favor. Trump ended up winning that 35%. This year, according to polls, Trump's odds are better than in 2016. Kamala has the upper hand, but
A) lots of things can change suddenly before the election (like the Hilary emails thing)
B) polls are not the ultimate arbiter of who will win an election- actual real votes are
C) Trump more than likely has some "extracurricular plans" in store, much like Jan 6th, that has a chance of working.
Tldr: don't get drunk on positive news. Keep a level head and you'll see this election is still very close to a coin flip
Exactly, remind people to get out and vote
I firmly believe he's going to lose the popular vote, the electoral college, and yet still "win" by having the assholes that filled important election official positions refuse to certify the results and have the election kicked to Congress where the Republicans have a majority of states in their control and so one state one vote means Trump wins...
Every single mother fucker better riot like there's no tomorrow if they do this
This is what I'm afraid of too. And it's entirely within the realm of possibility, and likely too because he's seemingly incapable of accepting public loses. He's going to do something, anything in response.
I also believe that there are a significant number of Trump voters who have quieted down out of embarrassment (but will still vote for him)
I don't think people realize how close that means the race was. 50/50 is like a coin flip. 35% is like rolling a six-sided die and getting either a 1 or a 2. It's not the most likely outcome, but it's not a surprising result either.