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Actually, electoral wise I have Harris at 278, Trump 260. And that is giving Trump PA, NV, and GA. IMO Harris will take at least two of those states. The blue wall.
You must be dropping NC into blue then? That's not at all a likelihood right now. Possible, yes, but very hopeful. If NC goes red in your calculation, Trump wins with 276 to Harris' 262.
I'm in agreement on WI. AZ and MI are still a toss-up.
North Carolina leans blue.
In the last fifty years, North Carolina has voted red in every presidential election besides 2008 and 1976.
https://www.270towin.com/states/North_Carolina
The demo in states change all the time. As I understand it, North Carolinas demo has changed over the years. In 2020, Biden lost by a little over 1 percentage point. Will this year reverse the trend? We shall see.
The research triangle has brought in a lot of folks from bluer parts of the country.
Just like Nebraska's 2nd District.
Biden won that one.
https://fedia.io/m/[email protected]/t/1103063/-/comment/6877839