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I think you are, and I think the left has made a hobby of underestimating the "Christian" right. I think it is very naive to say the only backing they have is backwoods states and gravy seals. They have had 4 years to plan and organize. They had fake electors, police, and active-duty military; that one alone should scare you, and now 19 governors actively pushing the election fraud lie. They have the courts, and all it would take is some organized violence and solid leadership.
None of what I am typing matters because you will keep your head buried just like everyone else because then you would have to admit this movement is bigger than you have been told or want to believe. That's been the problem since 2016, underestimating the ideology that runs Trump is how we got him.
I hope you are right, but I am still going to be ready for it if or when you are wrong. As the old man said, "We will see."
Peace