this post was submitted on 23 Jun 2024
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Yep, in Sask right now natural gas is about 1/7 the cost of electricity, which means at best a heat pump only costs about 2x as much to run as a modern gas furnace. Maybe as our grid transitions to renewables and carbon prices rise those costs will become even or shift towards benefiting heat pumps, but I suspect at this point you’re not going to hit break even over the typical life of a heat pump. Much more affordable to stick with gas for now, and maybe start moving to heat pumps 10 years from now. Same argument for water heaters, gas is going to be cheaper than a heat pump for most cases. Maybe new builds lean towards a heat pump because it doesn’t need venting which minimizes HVAC needs, and/or if a person has a solar system that minimizes their electricity costs.
Our power in Sask is dirty enough that burning gas in the home is better for the environment than using electricity for water tanks. 500% heat pumps would be better in theory, but they're not good enough for our winters yet, and the financial costs still aren't in their favour.
https://saskpower.com/our-power-future/our-electricity/electrical-system/where-your-power-comes-from
29% of the power being generated is coal as I type this comment.