this post was submitted on 17 May 2024
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[–] UnderpantsWeevil 57 points 7 months ago* (last edited 7 months ago) (2 children)

I’m surprised OP didn’t include the largest climate legislation in world history

New Infrastructure Law to Provide Billions to Energy Technology Projects

The bill spends enormous amounts on carbon capture projects that have historically produced lackluster results. It throws even more good money after bad on "clean hydrogen", an absolute sinkhole of R&D over the last two decades. And then there's the large investment in battery technology that's... definitely better than the first two, but still relies on the kind of enormous strip mining and chemical processing projects that got us in the fossil fuels mess to begin with.

$12B on various kinds of carbon capture and $9.5B on hydrogen and another $6.5B on battery advancements, relative to the $0.4B spent on new renewable energy projects. Even our deplorable bankrupt nuclear programs get $2.5B, relative to technologies that have seen some of the best ROI on energy production since the ICE was invented.

Like, sure. Blah blah Trump Worse. But the Infrastructure Reinvestment Act is not a good bill by any other standard than "Better than what Republicans wanted". Its the same bad California Tech Sector pipe dream ideas we've been flushing money down the toilet on since Bill Clinton was President.

I want to see another country or region beat us

You'll find a line around the block. Spain's sinking $89B in a renewable overhaul of its grid. France has been doing donuts around the US on nuclear power since the 70s. Italy's completely overhauling its rail infrastructure (something Americans rip up more often than they rebuild) to use HVDC power.

Where the US tends to lead the pack is in private investment and that's largely because Solar and Wind power built using cheap foreign imported steel and photovoltaics, have turned our decrepid electricity infrastructure into a gold mine of overpriced retail power. (Something new trade war restrictions may curtail in the next presidency).

The paradox in this is the threat that public investment and efficiency improvements in the grid threaten those profits. If you go around hooking up the fifth-gen molten salt nuclear power stations to an updated smart-balanced American grid, you're going to tank the incomes of a litany of energy companies.

Nobody with a revenue stream coming from sky high auction-priced electricity coming of the Texas ERCOT system, for instance, wants us to slaughter the golden goose that is $3000 MWh peak electricity prices.

[–] [email protected] 7 points 7 months ago (1 children)

Without hydrogen or battery storage how exactly do you want to store energy?

[–] UnderpantsWeevil 6 points 7 months ago (1 children)

Until renewable energy inputs approach the base load, there's nothing to store.

After that, hydrogen is an awful storage medium because it's so permiable. Even if you're focused on long term energy storage needs, sodium and nickel batteries are proving far more efficient than hydrogen cells. We've known that since the 90s, but continue to invest wasted billion after wasted billion in a dead end technology.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 7 months ago* (last edited 7 months ago) (2 children)

You were also decrying them spending money on battery storage. Yes there will be batteries needed if you want to implement large scale renewables, which it seems is happening even without subsidies. We need batteries for battery electric trains and cars too. Hydrogen isn't necessarily good enough for grid storage, though maybe it could be one day. It seems it might be an option for vehicles in the cases where batteries don't work such as in cold weather or for vehicles that need to travel great distances. Batteries also aren't an option for planes yet and hydrogen could help here too.

You also complain about them spending money on advanced nuclear reactors. You need nuclear until you have sufficient grid storage. That's an unfortunate fact.

I am against them using money on carbon capture from fossil fuel plants. Direct air carbon capture could actually be useful technology though. If not today then someday in the future. We won't know if we don't put money towards it.

[–] UnderpantsWeevil 1 points 7 months ago (1 children)

You were also decrying them spending money on battery storage.

Relative to the volume spent on generation, yes.

You also complain about them spending money on advanced nuclear reactors.

Given the abject failure of Westinghouse to produce a reliable mass production model, it's an enormous waste of investment.

If nothing else, we'd be better of someone buying existing designs from Areva. But we don't do that, because we insist on "Buy American" legislation that doesn't get us any actual product.

Direct air carbon capture could actually be useful technology though.

Not relative to simply reducing the volume of carbon produced, by shifting the composition of the grid.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 7 months ago (1 children)

Not relative to simply reducing the volume of carbon produced, by shifting the composition of the grid.

You understand that there are already too many greenhouse gases, right? By the time we do all of this there will be even more. It's not like the grid is the only (or even the majority) of greenhouse gases. How do you account for both all the past emmisions and all the future emissions plus emissions from other sources?

Given the abject failure of Westinghouse to produce a reliable mass production model, it's an enormous waste of investment.

If nothing else, we'd be better of someone buying existing designs from Areva. But we don't do that, because we insist on "Buy American" legislation that doesn't get us any actual product.

The main alternatives being French and Chinese reactor designs. I can understand why the USA doesn't want to use Chinese reactors, we in the UK made a similar decision and went with French designs instead if I am remembering correctly. I wouldn't be against the USA using French designs. The thing is though I can't see how more research could possibly be a bad thing, we have much work to do in both fission and fusion technologies. Putting all our bets in China or France might not be the best idea.

[–] UnderpantsWeevil -1 points 7 months ago (1 children)

You understand that there are already too many greenhouse gases, right?

The rate at which we produce green house has exceeded the rate at which it is absorbed and fixed.

Carbon capture attempts to accelerate the rate of carbon fixing at a very high per-ton economic cost. Meanwhile, turning off fossil plants and replacing them with renewable energy reduces the rate of per-ton generation at a comparably low cost.

If you're on a sinking ship, there's little point in bailing when you haven't plugged the hole.

I can understand why the USA doesn’t want to use Chinese reactors

Pure reactionary xenophobia. Chinese thorium reactors are cutting edge, and we're adding degree points to the global average by not adopting it ASAP.

Putting all our bets in China or France might not be the best idea.

Putting money on Westinghouse has consistently cost us enormously.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 7 months ago (1 children)

We need to be doing both. Once the grid is fixed or close to it then we will need carbon capture to reverse the damage. It's either that or massive reforestation or using algae or something (liquid trees anyone?).

Pure reactionary xenophobia. Chinese thorium reactors are cutting edge, and we're adding degree points to the global average by not adopting it ASAP.

If they own the plant they could theoretically sabotage it. Would they in practice? No idea but so long as the USA believes they might they won't use Chinese technology.

Neither the USA or China are good regimes. To be honest I want to see them both either broken or re-formed.

Westinghouse aren't the only people in the USA doing nuclear research afaik. I believe the DOE national laboratory does research on fusion for example. There are private companies like NuScale also working on fission designs in the USA.

[–] UnderpantsWeevil 0 points 7 months ago (1 children)

We need to be doing both.

In proportion to their value add. Enormous investments in a low yield long shot against minor investment in a sure thing is a bad strategy

[–] [email protected] 2 points 7 months ago (1 children)

It's not a long shot though. We already know this technology works as it has been tested on small scales.

[–] UnderpantsWeevil -1 points 7 months ago (1 children)

We already know this technology works

Factually inaccurate

[–] [email protected] 0 points 7 months ago (1 children)
[–] UnderpantsWeevil 0 points 7 months ago (1 children)

Fuel Cells Are Not the Problem, the Hydrogen Fuel Is

If you were familiar with the technology, you'd understand why it has failed to come to market for so long. You need enormous subsidies to sell vehicles and even then you cannot efficiently produce "Green H~2~"

[–] [email protected] 1 points 7 months ago (1 children)

We were talking about direct carbon capture in this thread. Hydrogen was a separate topic.

[–] UnderpantsWeevil 1 points 7 months ago (1 children)

Carbon Capture costs are far higher than reducing emissions with each ton of carbon costing between $230 and $540.

Halting emissions is the most efficient method of reducing total emissions. Capture is extraordinarily expensive and inefficient, particularly when you're still using carbon-based infrastructure to power compressors.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 7 months ago (1 children)

So just because it's expensive right now means we shouldn't do it or research it? Now you sound like the people advocating against renewables.

[–] UnderpantsWeevil 1 points 7 months ago (1 children)

So just because it’s expensive right now

This isn't a "right now" issue. Its been an ongoing problem since the '90s. And yes, throwing 10x your investment in a working solution on a speculative technology for 35 years running is a bad idea.

Now you sound like the people advocating against renewables.

The O&G industry has been the primary promoter of fuel cell technology. They never deliver and they've had far more money and time to work on this problem than the nascent solar and wind industries.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 7 months ago (1 children)

Why do you keep changing the topic to hydrogen?

[–] UnderpantsWeevil 1 points 7 months ago

Two different conversations.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 7 months ago* (last edited 7 months ago) (2 children)

Batteries on trains are not really needed if the rail is electrified. In Europe we have them everywhere. And better public transport reduces the need for cars. And ebikes can be the solution for many uses. It only takes thinking outside the car box.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 7 months ago (1 children)

Electrified rail is expensive and has safety issues. It's the best option for long distances for sure, but here in the UK we are still trying to electrify the main rail lines, the branch lines and city lines aren't even in the cards. Being able to recharge trains at stations with rapid charging is the best option for branch and commuter rail services not already on electrified rail (most of them). If we can do that using something other than lithium batteries that would be great. Sodium seems promising. Also I am in Europe you muppet. It also doesn't solve grid scale storage, which is something we need. I am hoping iron oxide batteries work out for the grid scale storage tbh.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 7 months ago (1 children)

UK has a problem with rails since Thatcher (IIRC).I

PS: stop insulting people. Thank you.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 7 months ago (2 children)

Yeah thatcher caused issue when ahe privatized rail operators. She didn't privatize network rail though, which are the guys responsible for building and maintaining the track including electrification projects. So I don't think you can pin this one on her. Electrification is prohibitively expensive and incomplete in pretty much every country with older rail networks including the USA, UK, and parts of the EU.

Also if you don't want to get insulted maybe stop assuming where I live and what I know about. It's insulting when people go "In Europe we do x", like brah I live in Europe and I know about x. X isn't always the solution to every problem. This is becoming a hammer nail thing.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 7 months ago

The post is about Biden and Trump. Sorry for assuming things. But that doesn't mean you have to call me muppet. "I'm British and I disagree" (or something like that) would be better.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 7 months ago (1 children)

If the transport companies don't require electric vehicles the infrastructure company won't builds it. I don't say that's the case but it could be. If everybody has only a bicycle you don't spend money on a highway.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 7 months ago* (last edited 7 months ago) (1 children)

That makes no sense. The government owns the railway, not the companies. They are the ones struggling to put in electric lines.

Also battery electric trains are a big step up from diesel. I don't get why you are complaining.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 7 months ago (1 children)

My bad. I was going to rant about the relation between train companies having to change the trains.

But I just remembered who is "governing" UK.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 7 months ago

Yeah the conservative party is not great, you're not wrong there.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 7 months ago (1 children)

It only takes thinking outside the car box.

I don't even drive and even I know cars, lorries, tractors, and so on are all necessary in some parts of society. You can't use public transport if you are miles away from the next house or the nearest town. Rural areas need transport too.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 7 months ago (1 children)

I know the problem in rural zones. I live in one. But if they can reduce the car dependency in cities and to some extend in big towns that's a lot of car batteries that don't have to be build.

And just as a note, there are electric tractors. Still small but...

[–] [email protected] 1 points 7 months ago (1 children)

The point is there is still a point in funding battery technology. Not that you shouldn't try to use public transport where necessary. Things like buses will also need batteries in order to operate if we are getting rid of fossil fuels.

[–] [email protected] 0 points 7 months ago (1 children)

One bus is 30 to 60 cars not used at the same time🙂 I don't say "stop building batteries" but "enhance public transport".

[–] [email protected] 2 points 7 months ago

One bus is 30 to 60 cars not used at the same time🙂

I know all this.

I don't say "stop building batteries" but "enhance public transport".

That's exactly what this conversation was about. People said stop investing as much money in battery technology - which is ass backwards given we have needs for this in both the grid and in vehicles.

[–] AA5B 2 points 7 months ago* (last edited 7 months ago) (1 children)

enormous amounts on carbon capture projects that have historically produced lackluster results. It throws even more good money after bad on “clean hydrogen”, an absolute sinkhole of R&D

And yet both are desperately needed

  • we’re already zooming past our climate goals for carbon emission, and rapidly approaching all the dangers that entails. While not putting fossilized carbon in the atmosphere to begin with is far better, it’s naive to think that will be enough. If there’s a practical way to recover some of that atmospheric carbon, we need to find it and scale up fast
  • while we’ve found better technologies than hydrogen for personal transportation and power generation, there are still too many places we still need energy, where wires can’t go, batteries aren’t sufficient. Think of industrial uses like metal refining or concrete manufacturing, flying, shipping, construction, long distance trains, etc, that we don’t yet have a good solution for. Yes, even for storage: current storage technology is fantastic, but it’s not clear that it can scale. We do also need a hydrogen economy
[–] UnderpantsWeevil 0 points 7 months ago (1 children)

And yet both are desperately needed

If you want to benefit climate change from the perspective of new technology, cancel the battery technology patents horded by fossil fuel companies.

[–] AA5B 2 points 7 months ago* (last edited 7 months ago) (1 children)

For sure another Big Question ^TM^ is whether intellectual property protections have gone beyond any reasonable justification, and obstruct innovation rather than the stated goal of stimulating it. Patents aren’t as bad as Copyright, but yeah.

[–] UnderpantsWeevil 2 points 7 months ago

whether intellectual property protections have gone beyond any reasonable justification

That's been an easy Yes since at least Amazon one click patent was a thing