At times I wish I had an answer, even if it was something prosaic. Anything is better than defaulting to hallucination haha.
I was checking out closely at the drone situation recently but they're were moving as...drones. I know all the questions and mystery surrounding them but they still move like something that you can just dismiss and say "they're just kids using drones for lulz".
What I saw had instant acceleration. I can't dismiss it that easily, save for the hallucination hypotheses. The worst part is this is a taboo topic so you get weird looks if you try and talk about it in public
We don't know how likely life is in the universe, let alone intelligent life.
I just read your exchange with Solumbran and I must agree with them. The % could be so low as to make earth a statistical miracle. We just don't know because we only have a sample size of 1 living planet, and a star system full of dead ones. The reasonable position to take is to assume earth is the only planet with life until proven otherwise, as unlikely that may seem as first glance.
And if we go by statistics, people having hallucinations is more likely than having non-human made devices operating on Earth. Of course, this doesn't feel satisfying at all haha.
Regarding the Nimitz, we don't have telemetry. All we have is the testimony and video evidence, but the radar data was never published as far as I know. It's still the most compelling case. I'm craving to learn more of this case, but nearly 5 years have passed since the pentagon admitted it was real. I don't think they're going to spill the beans.