Fedizen

IMO, if I had to make a theory on it I would guess he's trying to pull anti-democrat "leftist" activists into racist conspiracy holes as Jimmy Dore, RFK Junior, and Tulsi Gabbard have all shown that's a pathway to a trump bullshit.

I think its more that they're afraid of being labeles antisemitic by the media and there's pressure from the military to maintain status with Israel

the US Chamber of Commerce is almost entirely an advocate of bad ideas. Generally most companies don't mind promoting and taking credit for good ideas. You push it in the chamber of commerce when you know its a shitty idea and you don't want credit for it.

The state of the world and the koolaid man both like to recklessly crash through my walls and be like "OH no"

I mean they're naming an illegal settlement after trump and Netanyahu is explicitly advocating for trump. What's crazy is polls show Kamala would get like a 6 point poll boost by breaking with biden on this and saying something a little more forceful about a peace deal, such as a deadline where arms deals are halted. It would almost singlehandedly secure michigan.

good point. Loading up ukraine with nukes would have created a serious problem for russia. The problem is it would have given Ukraine independence from the US as well.

Alaska and Maine.

Yeah maybe he's pulling a putin here and we'll find out he donated to the trump campaign. But Jill Stein is such a weird pick.

I think a mean girls "get in, loser" style death is still mostly unexplored

the news is like 80% run by billionaires who want to pay less taxes. They didn't even drill him on any of the insane shit he's said when the last debate came up.

This is a real head scratcher.

I would argue the premier of BC is a fairly powerful position. Especially since, regionally, the NDP or Liberal party have been in contention for BC since the early 90s- over 30 years.

I would say that duverger's is "true-ish" but it doesn't capture the correct mechanism and fails on a predictive level enough that it at least should not be called a "law".

Its almost certainly suggests what's going on has more to do with voters gamifying their elections rather than any tendency of the elections or parties themselves as canada shows you have people voting liberal for country level government and NDP for regional seats.

A true successor to Duverger's Law would state that ftpt has a tendency to cause voters to vote strategically among the two most dominant parties in any fptp election. This would be more in line with what we actually see.