The Fediverse is still growing and a lot of people aren’t going to want to be there during the growing pains. More likely I suspect there will be a bit of a bump that first week after everything shuts down and then it will even out. We will likely see a slow, but steady organic growth in users over the next few months as users post more content.
this post was submitted on 27 Jun 2023
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That can mean bad things for the servers and people who administrate them. I believe most of them isn't prepared for high traffic spike - even though Lemmy is fairly lightweight, huge amount of new user would mean de facto DDoS.
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I would imagine most people planning to head here already have accounts, activity will no doubt go up though.
As the weeks go on though more will find this place and I'm sure there will be more surges to come.
Probably there would be a spike compared to the normal number of new daily signups, but I don't see millions of people coming. At least it's somewhat partially depends on mod decisions - While some have succumbed to Reddit's threats and will probably remain there, others have explicitly stated in /r/ModCoord that they fully intend to quit. Probably some subreddits will have suckers willing to volunteer even knowing how Reddit doesn't give a damn about them, while other might remain unmoderated. According to ModCoord a few large subreddits have been closed or archived due to all mods leaving and nobody replacing them (at least not yet). If some of the said mods decide to come here and post a pinned message in the old subreddit with a link before restricting it then it might bring new people.
Survey says. Maybe.
Nobody really knows what's going to happen, but it's expected that a lot of sync users will migrate. But it's definitely up in the air. But it's good practice as a server host to prepare for the "worst". As in preparing for the heaviest rapidest influx in users you can reasonably expect to handle.