Totally mystifying. Totally.
this post was submitted on 06 Feb 2025
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Mark my words, we passed a yet-to-be-identified tipping point.
Wouldn't surprise me if we reached the next milestone of +2 before 2030.
Hollywood reassured me that the planet has an as yet unknown mechanism for rapid cooling though! Surely they wouldn't lie.
It's very scary indeed, and add to that the "new" policy of "fuck the planet, let's pollute" by one of the most polluting nations in the world.
Easy before 2030 is my reckoning
I imagine most places will have an average temperature +2C above average this year, with the global average hitting it in 2028.
"Mystifies"
Only in the sense of "this is much worse than we expected and we don't know why", not in the sense of "oh, a hot January, how mystifying"
As far as I can tell we are still on the worst case scenario path so im pretty sure any realistic expectation would have it but all the things want to pretend like even though we barely try as a species we will somehow be on the best case because god or something.
This is why I've been shouting for nearly two decades that it doesn't matter how benign a religion is, or if it brings people peace and positivity. Any organization which incubates the tendency toward magical thinking is an existence level threat to our survival.
That's a human trait though. At a certain point you have to trust the information coming in, or else group dynamics just don't work.
One theory is that a global shift to cleaner shipping fuels in 2020 accelerated warming by reducing sulphur emissions that make clouds more mirror-like and reflective of sunlight.
Paradoxically, we might be accelerating warming by burning less sulphur emitting fuels. Clean the air, heat up faster. It's still a matter of debate, however, now much the reduction in sulphur emissions is causing the current accelerated warming. It's entirely possible there are other factors at play, as well. That's not going to stop people from advocating for geoengineering, though. Pump more sulphur dioxide into the atmosphere, cool the planet. I don't know, I suppose.
EU monitor says global temperatures were 1.75C above preindustrial levels,
I cannot comprehend how it isn't more? The weather has changed noticeably from just 15 years ago.
The past 5 years where I live (Denmark), we've only had very few days with frost through the whole winter, even the nights are almost all frost free.
Back in the 70's, almost all of January and February would have frost.
I know memory is fallible, but can I really be that wrong? When we also have stories from around the norrth pole, that the temperatues now are a massive 20° C warmer than usual for this time of year.
The scientists are probably right, they obviously have lots more data then me, it just seems worse here than 1.75° C here.
The article claims it's wetter some places but drier in others. But we read a lot about record rain all over the world. And mostly places that are already dry are getting drier?
Seems to me the trend is that we are getting a LOT more rain, which is only logical, because warmer air suck more water from the oceans, so rain is what probably 80% of the globe should expect more of.
Arctic and temperate areas see more change, land masses heat up faster than oceans, etc.
That number is the global average, meaning there will be spots on the planet that see more change, and some that haven't seem much. While going strictly from memory isn't the most accurate way to be sure, don't doubt your gut feelings. Things have been changing.
This is true, but we don't have as much extreme weather here as many other places. Storms are a bit stronger, temperatures are a bit higher, and we get a lot of rain. But nothing catastrophic, so from the news it just seems like most places are actually worse than here? There are places around the world that are becoming unlivable due to extreme heat.
Maybe it's just hard to understand what the numbers really mean, but for sure it's very noticeable now,which it wasn't in the early dqays of the talk of global warming.
PS:
I prefer and recommend to call it global warming, because that's what it really is, and also what the scientists termed it originally.
To call it climate change is giving in to global warming deniers, that used the term climate change exclusively for political reasons.
Climate change is a natural global cycle, but global warming is threatening life on earth. HUGE difference.
That's right. There are places on Earth that are now 4-5 °C hotter than before while others are now colder. But on average the temperature increased by 1.75 °C.
Where I live we get less frost in winter too. But it is also expected that a lot of places near the equator will heat up so much in the next few decades that human settlements will be impossible. Those people will then migrate. Guess where they'll go to.
They will patiently wait for visas to neighboring countries we also don't care about, while their children starve?