this post was submitted on 06 Jan 2025
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Balatro

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[–] [email protected] 1 points 5 days ago* (last edited 5 days ago)

The odds never stack, so it’s not like you are due a win just because there were so many “nope!”s. It’s always 1 in 4, which is 25% chance (0% in xcom terms).

My favourite flawed thinking genre.

[–] batdad90 25 points 3 weeks ago (1 children)

Don’t judge me… I’ll pick it every time goddamnit!!!

[–] 9point6 9 points 3 weeks ago (1 children)

I'll have $4 left in the shop, and it'll be arcana Vs celestial boosters

I'll pick the arcana just because it might have the wheel that might give me a result

[–] Skullgrid 4 points 3 weeks ago (1 children)

3 in 22 chance,followed by 1 in 4 chance,which is msot likely to give 50 extra chips.

vs 3 in 9 chance of a chips + mult boost.

...

[–] 9point6 4 points 3 weeks ago

Oh don't get me wrong, I'm not implying I'm a clever man or anything

[–] tfw_no_toiletpaper 22 points 3 weeks ago

90% of gamblers quit right before getting plychrome

[–] [email protected] 18 points 3 weeks ago

Once it worked 4 times in a row for me. So now I never expect it to work ever again.

[–] [email protected] 15 points 3 weeks ago (1 children)

"IM DUEEEEEEE" I scream as I watch "Nope!" flash up on my screen for the 6th time in a row

[–] [email protected] 7 points 3 weeks ago (1 children)

Six times in a row is a little less than 18%, so not totally unrealistic

[–] [email protected] 1 points 3 weeks ago (1 children)

16.666...%. I'll never forget that one.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 3 weeks ago

That'd be 1/6, a value that is close to but not quite (3/4)^6

[–] son_named_bort 12 points 3 weeks ago

It worked the first time I did it and I've been chasing my losses since then.

[–] [email protected] 9 points 3 weeks ago (1 children)

One day It'll work and 5 seconds later I'll die.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 3 weeks ago

Username checks out

[–] BigBenis 5 points 3 weeks ago

I counted and it took no less than 15 tries before it ever worked for me. Ever since then then my rates have improved but I'm still highly skeptical of the "1 in 4" written on the card.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 3 weeks ago

Cavendish goes extinct more than The Wheel works...

[–] ieatpwns 4 points 3 weeks ago

Wait this card does more than “nope”?!