this post was submitted on 22 Aug 2024
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You can't use your GDP to pay off debts. Wouldn't it be better if we used how much % of a goverments budget goes towards servicing debts?

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[–] yesman 39 points 3 weeks ago (1 children)

It's a better way to compare countries apples to apples. Two countries with similar economies may have drastic different tax policy.

Measuring it as you suggest is absolutely done and is helpful to research policy inside a country, but between countries, it'd be a poor metric.

[–] [email protected] 17 points 3 weeks ago (1 children)

Because the people utilizing debt want to measure it against the largest number they can find... also because, in an extreme situation, the GDP is essentially the value that a government could surrender to creditors.

[–] trolololol 5 points 3 weeks ago (1 children)

Nope most of the GDP belongs to private sector.

[–] [email protected] 16 points 3 weeks ago* (last edited 3 weeks ago) (1 children)

The government has the force to seize that if they so choose... it's unthinkable in America because of our liberties but it isn't in other nations.

Edit: I don't know why this is being downvoted - it's called nationalization and it can and has happened with or without monetary compensation to business owners in various times through history... I'm not suggesting uncompensated unilateral nationalization but it has been used for debt relief in the past.

[–] HappycamperNZ 12 points 3 weeks ago

You're being downvoted because people only think in the context of their own experiences - hasn't happened to them so it either isn't that bad or didn't actually happen.

[–] [email protected] 14 points 3 weeks ago (1 children)

Government debt is not like your debt. It's a monetary control tool more than anything. So the revenue in a lot of ways doesn't matter, especially for countries with a lot of power in their currency.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 3 weeks ago

The deficit totals $1.6 trillion in fiscal year 2024, grows to $1.8 trillion in 2025, and then returns to $1.6 trillion by 2027. Thereafter, deficits steadily mount, reaching $2.6 trillion in 2034. Measured in relation to gross domestic product (GDP), the deficit amounts to 5.6 percent in 2024, grows to 6.1 percent in 2025, and then shrinks to 5.2 percent in 2027 and 2028. After 2028, deficits climb as a percentage of GDP, returning to 6.1 percent in 2034. Since the Great Depression, deficits have exceeded that level only during and shortly after World War II, the 2007–2009 financial crisis, and the corona­virus pandemic.

https://www.cbo.gov/publication/59946

The federal government collected $4.47 trillion in revenue during the 2023 fiscal year.

https://usafacts.org/articles/how-much-revenue-does-the-federal-government-collect/

33T in national debt https://fiscaldata.treasury.gov/americas-finance-guide/national-debt/

1.6/4.5=35% of revenue is spent on debt service and nothing to show for it... no healthcare, no education, no housing, no maternity leave, no child care, no infrastructure...

at what point are people going to start asking questions where the money went?

[–] [email protected] 8 points 3 weeks ago (1 children)

Tried to answer, but it got very convoluted, here it is anyway as I typed it out...

Because that's a less useful metric basically, to change their budget a government can:

  • increase existing taxes
  • add completely new taxes
  • print money (depending on the level of government)

This means that a budget can swing quite a bit in value quite quickly if needed (or if something goes wrong). This means the % could swing quite widely.

GDP on the other hand is effectively the value of the economy, so moves slower and is a better metric to compare different countries with different economies and tax systems (assuming they tell the truth about their GDP...)

Ultimately, if a government needs more money, most of the time it can get it... But whatever they do will have side effects. But those side effects depend on the size of the economy, the bigger the economy (measured by GDP) the more can be done/taken without causing a large effect.

Both of these fail to highlight countries that already have a high tax load though, so in practice a wide range of metrics will be used.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 3 weeks ago (1 children)

Because GDP ratio is good propaganda for the ruling class and their government lapdogs.

Plebs asking too many questions about taxes would be bad news

[–] [email protected] 3 points 3 weeks ago (1 children)

How would debt to revenue be substantially different in this regard?

[–] [email protected] 2 points 3 weeks ago

The ratio would look different and would also be more relatable to the peasants.

revenue for government is = income for the peasant

GDP = ???

with that said, i wonder what would happen if workers found out what their labour actually brings lol Each peasant does have a GDP value

[–] [email protected] 3 points 3 weeks ago (1 children)

I think it is measured and professionals who work in areas where this was relevant probably track this number among many others. I think the real question you are asking is why it is always framed as a % of GDP in public discussion and news reporting. Some people here point out how % of GDP can be more useful for comparing across countries with vastly different sized economies but I think we all know the real answer has more to do with how people perceive the value differently by using the larger number. Framing government debt as a % of GDP serves the zeitgeist, whatever that is.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 3 weeks ago* (last edited 3 weeks ago)

The zeitgeist isn't something that something can be in service to, it is the resulting cultural mood from other things that are being served.

I think you mean it serves the status quo.

[–] RightHandOfIkaros 2 points 3 weeks ago (1 children)

Because none of the tax revenue actually goes to paying off debt. There isn't much left after it gets past all the politicians shoveling it into their own pockets.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 3 weeks ago

Most money goes into owners' pockets, politicians are cheap whores. Pay them 1 million, get back 50m in some welfare

[–] BaldManGoomba 2 points 3 weeks ago (1 children)

Correct me if I am wrong but isn't this sort of the deficit.

Revenue-expenditures is deficit in the simplest terms I understand

In the guide below they don't use gdp for national deficit but every thing I see for fiscal deficit has gdp. So I guess one is measure of nations economy versus the government budget. A nation's economy it makes since to use gdp because that is all the money moved by productions so to show the economy of a nation's is able to produce more than it indebts itself is important https://fiscaldata.treasury.gov/americas-finance-guide/national-deficit/

[–] [email protected] 2 points 3 weeks ago

It's not the deficit, no. As you correctly stated, the definition of deficit doesn't involve GDP. You could measure deficit as a proportion of GDP to compare deficits across differently-sized economies, but that'd be a different statistic. For example, imagine:

  • Australia has: GDP $1,000; government revenue $500; government expediture $600

  • New Zealand has: GDP $500; government revenue $200; government expediture $300

Both have a deficit of $100 per year. If they have been running the $100 per year deficit for ten years, both have $1000 in debt. For Australia that's a 200% debt -to-revenue ratio, but for NZ it's 500%.