this post was submitted on 14 Apr 2024
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politics

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[–] [email protected] 7 points 7 months ago (2 children)

Polls are wildly conflicting. A recent Rasmussen survey found that Biden trails Trump regardless of third-party candidates.

In a two-way contest between Biden and Trump, 49% of likely US voters said they would choose Trump, and 41% would vote for Biden. That was a marginal increase for Trump since February, when he led by six points.

[–] mycodesucks 18 points 7 months ago (4 children)

Rasmussen polls always tilt a few points slightly Republican for some reason. It's not necessarily malicious, but something in their methodology.

[–] jeffw 10 points 7 months ago

I refuse to believe it’s not by design. They’ve known the issue for years and others have produced far less biased polling

[–] [email protected] 9 points 7 months ago

Rasmussen is so dodgy that 538 dropped them from their models.

[–] [email protected] 6 points 7 months ago* (last edited 7 months ago) (1 children)

They used to call landlines, which most polling outlets gave up since that will always tilt the results older/conservative.

Not sure if that's still their process, but with the wide gap here, i'm betting it is.

[–] jeffw 2 points 7 months ago (1 children)

I highly doubt they’d be crappy enough to keep that up. Nobody does polls like that now

[–] [email protected] 3 points 7 months ago

Looks like they are still using landlines as part of their method:

To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel.

They claim to offset this with various corrections, but it seems landlines are the only numbers they call.

Very much still in use.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 7 months ago

Most people younger than 40 dont answer phones, so i assume thats probably part of it.

[–] jeffw 15 points 7 months ago (1 children)

“This poll run by far right people says Biden is losing!” Shocker lol. They’re always skewed R

[–] 11111one11111 0 points 7 months ago* (last edited 7 months ago)

It amazes me how many people seem to forget how much the polls played in Trump's victory. The media practically encouraged people it 2ould be such a landslide for Hillary that people didn't bother to vote. Trump has never won an election. The fucking retards running the DNC keep losing elections by their own incompetence. I feel like we keep living out the episode of Avenue 5 where the actor playing the captain in a TV sitcom wins the fucking election. We haven't had a deserving president since Obama and in THIS election I would vote for Baldwin's SNL Trump over either of the geriatric fucks who are actually running.