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Michigan Primary getting competitive (lemmy.world)

submitted 8 months ago by Keeponstalin to c/politicalmemes

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[–] Cheems 9 points 8 months ago (1 children)

This is a breakdown of the votes by county I think 13% is the average but most places were around 10% reaching as high as 17% which isn't something to scoff at.

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/02/27/us/elections/results-michigan-democratic-presidential-primary.html

Apparently the goal was to get 10k+ uncommitted votes and they got well over that, a pale comparison to the 200k in 2008 when Obama wasn't on the ballet in 2008.

https://www.npr.org/2024/02/27/1234279958/biden-uncommitted-democrats-michigan-primary-election-2024-

Out of the 8.2 million voters, I had read that 47% lean Democrat only 761k voted. (I'm pretty sure if you're not a registered Democrat you can't vote in the primary) but I can't find information on how many of the total amount of people that could vote did. If of those 47% could there would be 3.8 million total votes whatever which way in the primary. And Biden got 617k.

https://mvic.sos.state.mi.us/VoterCount/Index

So extrapolating out

Biden - 617,000 16.24%

Uncommitted - 100,000 2.63%

Williamson - 22,797 0.6%

Phillips - 20,459 0.54%

Didn't vote - 3,039,000 79.99%

I know these numbers are taking some liberties but it's really just to show that a lot of people just didn't vote. Which I take to mean they just didn't care to and a lot of those could be seen as uncommitted.

In 2020 there were almost twice as many people that voted in the primary.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_Michigan_Democratic_presidential_primary

[–] [email protected] -4 points 8 months ago (1 children)

I mean, 14% isn't something to scoff at either. I only meant that I was prepared for much more of a crisis scenario to come out of this.

As it stands, a 40% increase in uncommitted votes compared to the last time an incumbent ran is bad, but it's not as bad as I feared, especially considering all the other issues swirling around Biden at the moment.

I know these numbers are taking some liberties but it’s really just to show that a lot of people just didn’t vote. Which I take to mean they just didn’t care to and a lot of those could be seen as uncommitted.

Civic understanding in this country is fucking terrible. A good number of them, I'd wager, aren't even aware there's a primary on.

It seems insane to those of us who follow politics at all, but having spoken to some people, the surprise is... often genuine. Politics is marginal as an interest for most people in this country.

[–] Ensign_Crab 4 points 8 months ago

I mean, 14% isn’t something to scoff at either.

And yet that was the entirety of your edit.