this post was submitted on 27 Feb 2024
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politics

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[–] PP_BOY_ 4 points 9 months ago* (last edited 9 months ago) (1 children)

it's still too early to call bro polls aren't accurate this far from November bro

[–] jordanlund -5 points 9 months ago (1 children)

They are when you track them over time. In each of these states, support for Trump is growing, not shrinking.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 9 months ago* (last edited 9 months ago) (2 children)

Maybe, maybe not. You sound very confident in Trump. I'm not.

Sure, there's a risk Trump will somehow pull out a win in the electoral college. But I don't think he's the favorite by any stretch of the imagination.

[–] fluxion 8 points 9 months ago

Assume he is and act accordingly. Otherwise we'll ll have the the rest of our lives to regret it.

[–] jordanlund 1 points 9 months ago (1 children)

Well, I've been following the polling in these states for several months now and I've watched them go from 1/2 Biden 1/2 Trump, to all Trump by a couple of points, to all Trump by 5 to 6 points.

The momentum is definitely with Trump at this point.

Can he maintain it? Dunno.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 9 months ago (1 children)

Dude, we've all been watching. And everyone knows that it's going to be close. It always is. Doesn't take a rocket scientist to predict that. It's also way too early to conclude anything from polling.

[–] jordanlund 1 points 9 months ago (1 children)

The whole point is following the trend line. If the trend continues, it's important to have been following it as soon as possible.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 9 months ago (1 children)

You can find any trend you want in statistics. The only trend that matters is on election day.

[–] jordanlund 1 points 9 months ago

And by the time you can report on that, it's far too late to do anything about it.

Which is why you follow the trend line now.