this post was submitted on 15 Jan 2024
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We know what happens with peaceful protests, elections, and foreign interference (and more foreign interference), so how can Palestine gain it's freedom? Any positive ideas are welcome, because this situation is already a humanitarian crisis and is looking bleaker by the day.

Historical references are also valuable in this discussion, like slave revolts or the Warsaw Ghetto Uprising, although hopefully in the case of Palestine a peaceful and successful outcome can be achieved, as opposed to some of the historical events above.

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[–] [email protected] 59 points 10 months ago (3 children)

Within Israel, the vast majority of people don't particularly care about any kind of manifest destiny style reclamation of the West Bank or Gaza, and if that were the only issue, I genuinely don't think there would be a significant problem.

What essentially everyone does care about, however, is repeatedly having rockets lobbed at them. When people feel under threat, reason starts to fall away, people begin dehumanizing the "other", and you get the massive mess we have today. The fact of the matter is that Israel will never accept any situation where its people are under threat. No matter what you think about what acts are or aren't justified or your opinion on how various parts of the history played out, none of that changes this basic reality.

Palestine is not going to be able to militarily eradicate Israel. There is precisely zero chance that Israelis allow themselves to be subjected to a second diaspora and they'll fight to the death to prevent this, and that's to say nothing of external players like the United States. Again, whether you think this is a good thing or a bad thing, it is a true thing.

On the flip side, Israel is perfectly capable of essentially eradicating the Palestinians, though this would subject it to massive international condemnation that would also have huge economic impacts. You're already beginning to see whispers of this as the world increasingly sees Israel's response in Gaza as being excessively harsh. The most they could do is a slow and steady degradation of Palestinian society while encouraging them to "voluntarily" leave, which is arguably what the strategy has essentially been under Likud with settlements and the like.

So, what's required for a peaceful co-existence? Firstly, you need a mutual acknowledgement from both leaders (and also, a legitimate Palestinian leadership in the first place) that the other side exists and has a right to do so, ie, Palestinians giving up on the idea of eradicating Israel and Israelis giving up on the idea of fully annexing and ethnically cleaning Palestinian lands. This is not a trivial thing. The Israeli far-right, though they're not dominant, are growing and believe they have a divine right to the West Bank, with the Arabs being seen as little more than animals in the way. The extreme Palestinian side is that all Israelis are essentially foreign invaders and should be forcibly removed or killed. Both of these positions must be completely taken off the table.

Secondly, Israel will not engage unless it is confident that its security will not be threatened, which will in practice mean that Palestinian authorities must be de-militarized beyond what's necessary for basic local law enforcement. Again, this might seem unfair, and hell, it probably is. But the fact of the matter remains that Israel is the side holding the guns here, so you either play by their rules and try to find some positive outcome, or you flip the table and enjoy the complete loss, but with some moral satisfaction. Similarly, there would probably need to be some kind of border controls for imports that Israeli authorities can inspect for covert weapons shipments, since it's a known thing that Iran does regularly try to bring weapons into Gaza. Ideally, this would be some kind of bi-national force with Palestinian cooperation.

If you reach these points, then you still have other very big questions to deal with, like precise borders, land swaps, the question of Jerusalem, how to connect Gaza and the West Bank, any right of return for displaced Palestinians both recently and during the Nakba, and plenty of other things I'm sure I'm forgetting about. But ultimately, if you have a Palestinian and Israeli leadership that are actually interested in peace and accept the existence of the other, and both agree to cooperate on matters of security and prioritizing that peace above and past grievances, no matter how legitimate, that gives you a real foundation you can build from.

I wouldn't get my hopes up though.

[–] [email protected] 11 points 10 months ago (1 children)

What essentially everyone does care about, however, is repeatedly having rockets lobbed at them. When people feel under threat, reason starts to fall away, people begin dehumanizing the "other", and you get the massive mess we have today. The fact of the matter is that Israel will never accept any situation where its people are under threat.

I get what you mean, but the current situation has continued since even before the rocket attacks. Gaza was blockaded before rocket attacks even became a thing (setting aside the second Intifada because that's its own thing). What I mean is: Israeli's feeling under threat is probably a factor, but it's not the main issue.

and also, a legitimate Palestinian leadership in the first place

True enough, but let's remember that it's Israel that engineered a situation where they can claim Palestine has no legitimate leadership. You're not wrong about the fact, but I just wanted to make the cause clear.

[–] [email protected] 10 points 10 months ago

For sure, I'm not at all trying to portray Israel as blameless here, because they are not.

I think the blockade does have some basic level of merit, at least in principle (it can't really be doubted that Hamas does import weapons and materials with Iranian backing), but it's critical that those kinds of controls only go as far as they're needed and no further. However, the Israeli government has never really cared about not going to far, so Palestinians have no real reason to trust that they're being treated in good faith, violence comes to feel like the only real option, and onwards the mess rolls along.

Along with Palestinians needing to accept that Israel is going to exist in some capacity and that it will not accept any deal that doesn't ensure its security, Israelis need to accept that if they don't take every step towards keeping peaceful paths available and fruitful, then people will turn to violent ones. Israel can of course easily win a conflict of violence, but it doesn't have to be this way

[–] Stovetop -1 points 10 months ago (2 children)

The extreme Palestinian side is that all Israelis are essentially foreign invaders and should be forcibly removed or killed.

That's essentially the reality of the situation, though. The land was populated by Palestinians before Europe and the rest of the Middle East NIMBY'd their remaining Jewish populations to Israel.

[–] [email protected] 27 points 10 months ago (1 children)

Maybe if it was the 1940s this would be a bit more accurate, but at this point, we're a couple generations removed from the original mass displacements. Most Israelis today were born there.

Like I said, the way towards progress lies with both sides finding a way to get over historical grievances of who started what and who's to blame for this and that and instead accepting the fact that they're both here now and need to find a way to exist with each other.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 10 months ago (1 children)

You don’t fix colonialism is a few generations.

And you do, which starts with Israel not locking up the original owners of the land in a two small locations and bombing them and stealing their homes.

And they have every right to fight back against you because your crimes are still being committed.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 10 months ago (2 children)

I agree, it would be great for Israel to stop doing that, but again, regardless how you or I feel about it, they won't unless they feel their security is ensured.

Even if you grant that Palestinians have the right to some level of armed resistance, which I wouldn't even entirely disagree with, that doesn't make it a pragmatic and productive idea. There is zero world in which Palestine wins freedom by armed resistance.

I'm much less interested in who has whatever moral superiority and much more interested in what would actually lead to a peaceful resolution, and we've already seen what one episode of Palestinian violence causes.

Again, I'm not saying it's right. But this is the real world. Being right or wrong doesn't count for very much when you have a bunch of guns pointed at you.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 10 months ago (1 children)

Peacefully protesting hasn’t and never will bring meaningful change

Armed resistance has us sitting here talking about how can we save them.

And honestly if your people were slowly being genocided would you sit by and try to find a peaceful solution with the genociders?

[–] [email protected] 2 points 10 months ago

It also has 24,000 people dead, all so we can talk about it?

What has been gained? Are we any closer to peace? Is there now some path towards the end of the state of Israel? No, we just have a bunch of corpses. Some progress. Oh, and I guess we get to have conversations.

And honestly if your people were slowly being genocided would you sit by and try to find a peaceful solution with the genociders?

If the alternative was our assured complete destruction, yes, absolutely. Lives saved are worth so much more than my or anyone else's pride.

[–] [email protected] 0 points 10 months ago

There is zero world in which Palestine wins freedom by armed resistance.

There is though. Hamas's method of "Make Israel keep turning the world's people against it" seems to be bearing fruit, and will bear more as older people die off. The sacrifice being paid in return is questionable, but we can't deny the results. It's definitely more results than the peace process that came before it.

[–] [email protected] -2 points 10 months ago (1 children)

Thanks for the detailed and thought out response. I can't help but notice that it's built on a foundation of autocracy and Israeli exceptionalism i.e. Israel holds all the guns so they call the shots and they have the singular privilege of having non-hostile neighbors while every other country in the world except the U.S. should respect negotiations and international law, and many have hostile neighbors but that's ok. I can't blame you, though, because the narrative is thus constructed: Israel alone has the right to security, Israel alone has the right to self-determination, Israel alone has the right to self-defense, etc. Why doesn't Palestine? The narrative says "because they lob mortar shells over the fence" which is a pure double standard (Israeli exceptionalism). History must be erased to maintain the narrative, like the invasion of Akka among many others. When a country has such a consistent history, it's rational to believe that they will continue annexing Palestinian lands, so it's very important that the narrative removes the Palestinian right to self-defense as well as erasing Israel's colonial history. The truth is different, though.

[–] [email protected] 10 points 10 months ago

I'm speaking solely to the facts on the ground.

Regardless of anyone's thoughts on the matter, Israel does hold all the guns here. Rights and privileges mean as much as the paper they're printed on. In a perfect world, Israel and Palestine would exist side by side as peaceful partners, each with fully fledged institutions and militaries and all that jazz. But unless Israel is confident that a Palestinian military won't have its destruction as its primary goal, it will not allow that to happen, no matter how much pontificating about rights and narratives and double standards anyone does. I'm not trying to talk about who's "right", whatever that even means. I'm talking about the actual situation and what will actually happen, regardless of anyone's opinions on the matter.

When a country has such a consistent history, it’s rational to believe that they will continue annexing Palestinian lands

And an Israeli would say that Palestinians have a consistent history of attempting to murder Israeli civilians and so it is rational to never allow them to build up any military power, and thus the circus goes round. My point is that no amount of moral superiority means very much if you don't have actual power to go along with it, and Palestinians simply do not. If the goal is actually to develop a real peace rather than avenge any sins of the past, both sides will have to give up on prior grievances and decide that they care more about the lives of their children than their own pride. It's hard to imagine the situation being much worse than it already is (though I'm sure it'll find a way)