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I think this is a lot more true than many people here suspect. What we're realistically looking at is relatively low-intensity insurrection on the level of, say, Northern Ireland during the height of The Troubles. It's still a very bad thing, but it's not existential and if the comparison to The Troubles is accurate, the violence will mostly target federal law enforcement and any military that's brought to bear should Biden invoke the insurrection act.
The real existential threat is Trump actually winning another term.
Trump miscalculated. He thought Pence was spineless. Had Pence stopped the transition as they wanted and instead assisted with the fake electors they created and intended to deliver that day the insurrection would likely have worked. Trumps lawyer has already agreed to testify about the faked electors, and we know Pence got thrown off that day and then thrown to the wolves. I think Trump wanted the crowds of his followers there so when they submitted the fake electors and denounced the official vote he could have video of "everyone" cheering on live TV and he could look like he stopped a stolen election while he himself stole it. Narcissistic idea one might say.